Sha Tin · 2021-03-28
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-28 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN LINK, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with UNCLE STEVE second and BEAUTY FIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite BEAUTY FIT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | GOLDEN LINK Closed strongly 1.21.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 5 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | UNCLE STEVE Closed strongly SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 3.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | E STAR Closed strongly C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 9 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | XIANG YIN TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 1 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly B-/V1/TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 5.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 4 | 8.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | ALPHA HEDGE CP K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 13 | 57.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 7 | 9.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | FLASH FAMOUS B-/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 6 | 52.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 3 | 114.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | FANTASTIC SHOW B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 185.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | TURQUOISE ALPHA CP A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 254.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BEAUTY FIT | 29.2% | 3.43 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | UNCLE STEVE | 19.8% | 5.05 | 2 |
| 3 | 13 | GOLDEN LINK | 8.9% | 11.21 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | SKYEY SUPREME | 8.6% | 11.59 | 11 |
| 5 | 9 | XIANG YIN | 8.6% | 11.69 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 7.0% | 14.20 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | HALL OF CHAMP | 3.9% | 25.84 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | FLASH FAMOUS | 3.5% | 28.35 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | E STAR | 3.1% | 32.47 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | ALPHA HEDGE | 3.0% | 33.38 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | LET'S DO IT | 2.6% | 37.81 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 1.0% | 99.08 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 0.7% | 137.53 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 125.5
PLACE
3 16
4 17.5
13 37
QUINELLA
3,13 296.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 35
3,13 89.5
4,13 77
FORECAST
13,3 591
TIERCE
13,3,4 2,219
TRIO
3,4,13 244
FIRST 4
1,3,4,13 476
QUARTET
13,3,4,1 15,347
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 34
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
5/3 38
5/13 864