沙田 · 2021-07-11
第 4場
2021-07-11沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Schofield策騎、K H Ting訓練的GLUCK RACER勝出，贏出2-1/4。BEAUTY AMIGO獲得亞軍；TOUCH FAITH獲得季軍。頭馬以4.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GLUCK RACER B-/V1 1.08.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 4 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY AMIGO B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | TOUCH FAITH B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 14 | 8.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | MY ECSTATIC TT N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 5 | 7.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | ZACIAN B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 13 | 5.2 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | THE JOLLY XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 84.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 1 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | WHO LOVES THE ACE B1/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 10 | 70.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | HEROIC CHAMPION V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 216.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | TOWARDS SUCCESS H/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 6 | 256.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | G ONE EXCELLENT SR1/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 3 | 6.8 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | WONDERFUL FANTASY C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 143.0 | 16 |
| 13 | 4 | INESTIMABLE R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 7 | 57.0 | 41-1/2 |
| — | 0 | MEGA BONUS T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
| — | 10 | PLIKCLONE B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 4.3 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TOUCH FAITH | 23.2% | 4.31 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | MY ECSTATIC | 20.9% | 4.79 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | GLUCK RACER | 18.8% | 5.31 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 15.9% | 6.28 | 11 |
| 5 | 14 | ZACIAN | 7.5% | 13.25 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | WHO LOVES THE ACE | 3.1% | 32.18 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 2.9% | 34.10 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | BULLISH BROTHER | 2.4% | 41.83 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | THE JOLLY | 2.1% | 46.78 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | INESTIMABLE | 1.1% | 90.66 | 13 |
| 11 | 6 | WONDERFUL FANTASY | 0.9% | 107.24 | 12 |
| 12 | 13 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 0.6% | 153.98 | 10 |
| 13 | 7 | HEROIC CHAMPION | 0.4% | 238.47 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 42
PLACE
2 43.5
8 26.5
9 15.5
QUINELLA
2,9 399
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 204
2,9 133
8,9 77
FORECAST
9,2 522
TIERCE
9,2,8 4,791
TRIO
2,8,9 1,153
FIRST 4
1,2,8,9 1,048
QUARTET
9,2,8,1 20,489
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 18
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/2 158.5
1/9 203