跑馬地 · 2022-10-30 · 12:45
第 1場
2022-10-30跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、K L Man訓練的CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO勝出，贏出2。FLASH FAMOUS獲得亞軍；SURE WIN WIN獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以3.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO 一路領先 B 1.40.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 3.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | FLASH FAMOUS 後段發力 B/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 9 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | SURE WIN WIN 後段發力 B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | AMAZING NEWS 後段發力 PC-/XB-/E1/P2 M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 10 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE 後段發力 PC/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 5 | 5.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | FOXHUNTER WAY CP-/H- C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | GOLDEN FOUR A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | JOY MASTER 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 24.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | YOUNG EXPLORER B/H1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 40.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | THIS IS CHARISMA 後段發力 CP/TT L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 11 | 9.8 | 14-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT L Currie · R Gibson | L Currie | R Gibson | 8 | 13.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | METHANE B2/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 7.7 | 21-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 20.0% | 5.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | METHANE | 12.7% | 7.90 | 12 |
| 3 | 8 | SURE WIN WIN | 10.9% | 9.21 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE | 9.5% | 10.50 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 8.6% | 11.62 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | FLASH FAMOUS | 8.2% | 12.25 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 7.2% | 13.93 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING | 6.9% | 14.48 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | JOY MASTER | 6.7% | 15.01 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | AMAZING NEWS | 5.9% | 16.86 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | GOLDEN FOUR | 2.2% | 46.45 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | YOUNG EXPLORER | 1.4% | 72.43 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 36
PLACE
3 37
5 14.5
8 41.5
QUINELLA
3,5 224.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 81
3,8 238.5
5,8 86.5
FORECAST
5,3 307
TIERCE
5,3,8 2,525
TRIO
3,5,8 684
FIRST 4
3,4,5,8 1,661
QUARTET
5,3,8,4 25,425
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 21.5