Happy Valley · 2022-10-30 · 12:45
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO Wire to wire B 1.40.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 3.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 9 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly PC-/XB-/E1/P2 M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 10 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 5 | 5.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY CP-/H- C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 24.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | YOUNG EXPLORER B/H1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 40.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 11 | 9.8 | 14-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT L Currie · R Gibson | L Currie | R Gibson | 8 | 13.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | METHANE B2/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 7.7 | 21-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-30 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO, ridden by M F Poon and trained by K L Man, won by 2, with FLASH FAMOUS second and SURE WIN WIN third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 20.0% | 5.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | METHANE | 12.7% | 7.90 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN | 10.9% | 9.21 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 9.5% | 10.50 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 8.6% | 11.62 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 8.2% | 12.25 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 7.2% | 13.93 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING | 6.9% | 14.48 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | JOY MASTER | 6.7% | 15.01 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS | 5.9% | 16.86 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 2.2% | 46.45 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | YOUNG EXPLORER | 1.4% | 72.43 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 36
PLACE
3 37
5 14.5
8 41.5
QUINELLA
3,5 224.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 81
3,8 238.5
5,8 86.5
FORECAST
5,3 307
TIERCE
5,3,8 2,525
TRIO
3,5,8 684
FIRST 4
3,4,5,8 1,661
QUARTET
5,3,8,4 25,425
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 21.5