Happy Valley · 2022-10-30 · 13:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SMILING TIME Closed strongly V/TT 1.49.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 11 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 2 | 8.5 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 3 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 12 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 5 | 36.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | KOWLOON GREAT CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 1 | 4.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS B1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 40.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.1 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA B/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 5.3 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ALL IS READY B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 7 | 25.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT L Currie · T P Yung | L Currie | T P Yung | 10 | 14.0 | 15 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG Led early B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | — | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-30 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SMILING TIME, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K H Ting, won by SH, with BRIGHT KID second and VINCY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite KOWLOON GREAT finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 14.3% | 6.98 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 13.3% | 7.51 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | BRIGHT KID | 12.5% | 7.98 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | VINCY | 12.4% | 8.09 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 8.9% | 11.21 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 7.1% | 14.10 | — |
| 7 | 0 | WONDER YEARS | 6.5% | 15.35 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | SMILING TIME | 6.4% | 15.54 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | ALL IS READY | 6.2% | 16.18 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | KOWLOON GREAT | 5.8% | 17.18 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 4.7% | 21.08 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 1.8% | 56.69 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 124.5
PLACE
5 38.5
6 29.5
8 29.5
QUINELLA
5,8 520
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 134
5,8 147.5
6,8 115
FORECAST
5,8 1,468
TIERCE
5,8,6 9,684
TRIO
5,6,8 1,527
FIRST 4
5,6,8,12 4,222
QUARTET
5,8,6,12 95,455
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/5 259
5/8 30.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 44.5