Happy Valley · 2022-10-30 · 13:16
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEGA BONUS V 1.09.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 2 | 1.7 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | SUNNY AND GOLD TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 21.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | HARDLY SWEARS CP/TT1 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 8 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | COMMANDING MISSILE B/H/TT1 C L Chau · J Richards | C L Chau | J Richards | 6 | 55.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SIGHT HERO B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 11 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 10 | 42.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEEDY FORTUNE A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 8.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING INNOVATOR XB/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 9.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 47.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN XB-/CP1/TT1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | COMPASSION SUPER B1 M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | WIND SPEEDER XB1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 32.0 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-30 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MEGA BONUS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by HD, with SUNNY AND GOLD second and HARDLY SWEARS third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEGA BONUS | 31.1% | 3.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING INNOVATOR | 11.0% | 9.11 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 10.8% | 9.29 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 9.3% | 10.72 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | COMPASSION SUPER | 8.6% | 11.69 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN | 7.9% | 12.67 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | HARDLY SWEARS | 6.4% | 15.74 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SIGHT HERO | 4.9% | 20.39 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 4.0% | 25.15 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | WIND SPEEDER | 3.0% | 33.12 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 1.7% | 59.17 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 1.5% | 67.96 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 17.5
PLACE
5 10.5
7 23
10 42
QUINELLA
5,10 133.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 32.5
5,10 56.5
7,10 176.5
FORECAST
5,10 214
TIERCE
5,10,7 1,031
TRIO
5,7,10 332
FIRST 4
1,5,7,10 2,774
QUARTET
5,10,7,1 26,563
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/5 54.5
5/10 133
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14.5
A2 —