跑馬地 · 2022-10-30 · 13:16
第 2場
2022-10-30跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P F Yiu訓練的MEGA BONUS勝出，贏出HD。SUNNY AND GOLD獲得亞軍；HARDLY SWEARS獲得季軍。頭馬以1.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MEGA BONUS V 1.09.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 2 | 1.7 | HD |
| 2 | 10 | SUNNY AND GOLD TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 21.0 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | HARDLY SWEARS CP/TT1 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 8 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | COMMANDING MISSILE B/H/TT1 C L Chau · J Richards | C L Chau | J Richards | 6 | 55.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | SIGHT HERO B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 11 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 10 | 42.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | SPEEDY FORTUNE A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 8.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | AMAZING INNOVATOR XB/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 9.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 47.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN XB-/CP1/TT1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | COMPASSION SUPER B1 M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER XB1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 32.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MEGA BONUS | 31.1% | 3.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | AMAZING INNOVATOR | 11.0% | 9.11 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 10.8% | 9.29 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 9.3% | 10.72 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | COMPASSION SUPER | 8.6% | 11.69 | 11 |
| 6 | 8 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN | 7.9% | 12.67 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | HARDLY SWEARS | 6.4% | 15.74 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | SIGHT HERO | 4.9% | 20.39 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 4.0% | 25.15 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER | 3.0% | 33.12 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 1.7% | 59.17 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 1.5% | 67.96 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 17.5
PLACE
5 10.5
7 23
10 42
QUINELLA
5,10 133.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 32.5
5,10 56.5
7,10 176.5
FORECAST
5,10 214
TIERCE
5,10,7 1,031
TRIO
5,7,10 332
FIRST 4
1,5,7,10 2,774
QUARTET
5,10,7,1 26,563
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/5 54.5
5/10 133
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14.5
A3 —