跑馬地 · 2022-10-30 · 15:41
第 6場
2022-10-30跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、C Fownes訓練的JUMBO LEGEND勝出，贏出SH。SHINING FORTUNE獲得亞軍；GANG OF BROTHERS獲得季軍。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | JUMBO LEGEND H/TT 1.09.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 2.3 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | SHINING FORTUNE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 4.1 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | GANG OF BROTHERS V H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 9 | 32.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | LORIZ A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 7.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | VAMOS H2 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | FIGHTING STAR B/XB/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 10 | 41.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SHADOW RUNNER CP1/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 5 | 9.9 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | HIGH CLOUD SR-/XB/CP1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | KUNG FU TEA B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | KARUIZAWA B/TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 12 | 159.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | HAPPY GATHERING M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 47.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | BLUSTITCH B/TT C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 1 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SHINING FORTUNE | 21.0% | 4.75 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | JUMBO LEGEND | 20.8% | 4.80 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | KUNG FU TEA | 8.5% | 11.80 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | VAMOS | 8.2% | 12.18 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | HIGH CLOUD | 8.0% | 12.43 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | LORIZ | 7.5% | 13.28 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | SHADOW RUNNER | 7.1% | 14.18 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY GATHERING | 5.3% | 18.80 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 4.7% | 21.12 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | BLUSTITCH | 4.3% | 23.04 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | FIGHTING STAR | 3.7% | 27.26 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | KARUIZAWA | 0.8% | 129.79 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 23.5
PLACE
2 13
3 63.5
7 15.5
QUINELLA
2,7 66
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 113
2,7 29.5
3,7 203
FORECAST
2,7 125
TIERCE
2,7,3 1,492
TRIO
2,3,7 451
FIRST 4
2,3,7,10 540
QUARTET
2,7,3,10 6,334
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 15
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
4/2 51
4/7 26
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,5/4,9,10/Any Combination 1,603,428