跑馬地 · 2022-10-30 · 15:11
第 5場
2022-10-30跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、D J Whyte訓練的PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN勝出，贏出1。E RAINBOW獲得亞軍；OVERSUBSCRIBED獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN H/SR/TT 0.57.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | E RAINBOW L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 12 | 55.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT C Wong · J Richards | C Wong | J Richards | 8 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT B/TT K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 11 | 33.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | LYRICAL MOTION CP/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 4.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | ACE TALENT TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | SUPER COMMANDER B-/V1/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 4 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 38.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | HAR HAR AT HEART A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LYRICAL MOTION | 20.4% | 4.91 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN | 19.5% | 5.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | HANDSOME REBEL | 8.8% | 11.39 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | HAR HAR AT HEART | 8.3% | 12.11 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPER COMMANDER | 8.0% | 12.48 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | E RAINBOW | 7.9% | 12.69 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | ACE TALENT | 5.9% | 16.81 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 5.5% | 18.14 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 5.0% | 19.94 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 4.8% | 20.67 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO | 3.6% | 28.01 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 2.3% | 42.69 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 24.5
PLACE
4 11.5
9 131
10 34.5
QUINELLA
4,10 206.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 398.5
4,10 75
9,10 1,116
FORECAST
4,10 308
TIERCE
4,10,9 12,927
TRIO
4,9,10 4,722
FIRST 4
4,9,10,12 4,443
QUARTET
4,10,9,12 77,822
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/4 476.5
1/10 325.5