跑馬地 · 2022-10-30 · 14:18
第 4場
2022-10-30跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的JADE PHOENIX勝出，贏出SH。TURIN WARRIOR獲得亞軍；HAPPY JAI JAI獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.4倍大熱門RED IMPACT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JADE PHOENIX 一路領先 CP/TT 1.39.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 15.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR 後段發力 B/XB R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 11 | 13.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | HAPPY JAI JAI 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | RED IMPACT 後段發力 V/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SEATOSKY 後段發力 CP1 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 8 | 82.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | OVER THE MOON 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 4.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | RUN THE TABLE H H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 7 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR 後段發力 CP/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | CHARIZARD 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 12 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | BALLISTIC MAN B/H/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 2 | 60.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 5 | 9.1 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.0 | 97-3/4 |
| — | 0 | PAINTER L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | RED IMPACT | 18.3% | 5.45 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | JADE PHOENIX | 11.7% | 8.56 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | OVER THE MOON | 10.8% | 9.28 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | CHARIZARD | 9.7% | 10.27 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 8.9% | 11.27 | 12 |
| 6 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER | 8.6% | 11.67 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 8.5% | 11.77 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 7.9% | 12.59 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | RUN THE TABLE | 7.2% | 13.80 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR | 5.2% | 19.31 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | BALLISTIC MAN | 1.7% | 57.81 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | SEATOSKY | 1.4% | 69.67 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 157.5
PLACE
1 40
3 42
5 43
QUINELLA
1,3 1,049
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 332
1,5 233
3,5 298
FORECAST
1,3 2,114
TIERCE
1,3,5 21,100
TRIO
1,3,5 3,670
FIRST 4
1,3,5,11 3,671
QUARTET
1,3,5,11 134,999
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,8/1,3,5 1,106,023
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 24
3RD DOUBLE
5/1 1,573
5/3 249.5