跑馬地 · 2022-10-30 · 13:46
第 3場
2022-10-30跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、K H Ting訓練的SMILING TIME勝出，贏出SH。BRIGHT KID獲得亞軍；VINCY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.4倍大熱門KOWLOON GREAT跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SMILING TIME 後段發力 V/TT 1.49.52 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 11 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | BRIGHT KID 後段發力 B/XB M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 2 | 8.5 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | VINCY 後段發力 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 3 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | CHATER PINS 後段發力 SR C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 12 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | WONDER YEARS 後段發力 B/XB/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 5 | 36.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | KOWLOON GREAT CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 1 | 4.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | SUPER HONG KONG 早段領放 B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 4 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS B1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 40.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.1 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA B/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 5.3 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | ALL IS READY B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 7 | 25.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT L Currie · T P Yung | L Currie | T P Yung | 10 | 14.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 14.3% | 6.98 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 13.3% | 7.51 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | BRIGHT KID | 12.5% | 7.98 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | VINCY | 12.4% | 8.09 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | CHATER PINS | 8.9% | 11.21 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER HONG KONG | 7.1% | 14.10 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | WONDER YEARS | 6.5% | 15.35 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | SMILING TIME | 6.4% | 15.54 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | ALL IS READY | 6.2% | 16.18 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | KOWLOON GREAT | 5.8% | 17.18 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 4.7% | 21.08 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 1.8% | 56.69 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 124.5
PLACE
5 38.5
6 29.5
8 29.5
QUINELLA
5,8 520
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 134
5,8 147.5
6,8 115
FORECAST
5,8 1,468
TIERCE
5,8,6 9,684
TRIO
5,6,8 1,527
FIRST 4
5,6,8,12 4,222
QUARTET
5,8,6,12 95,455
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
5/5 259
5/8 30.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 44.5
A1 —