Happy Valley · 2022-10-30 · 14:18
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX Wire to wire CP/TT 1.39.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 15.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly B/XB R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 11 | 13.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RED IMPACT Closed strongly V/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SEATOSKY Closed strongly CP1 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 8 | 82.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | OVER THE MOON Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 4.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE H H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 7 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 12 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | BALLISTIC MAN B/H/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 2 | 60.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 5 | 9.1 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.0 | 97-3/4 |
| — | 0 | PAINTER L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-30 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. JADE PHOENIX, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with TURIN WARRIOR second and HAPPY JAI JAI third. The winner led throughout. The 3.4 favourite RED IMPACT finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED IMPACT | 18.3% | 5.45 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX | 11.7% | 8.56 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | OVER THE MOON | 10.8% | 9.28 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 9.7% | 10.27 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 8.9% | 11.27 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 8.6% | 11.67 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 8.5% | 11.77 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 7.9% | 12.59 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE | 7.2% | 13.80 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR | 5.2% | 19.31 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | BALLISTIC MAN | 1.7% | 57.81 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SEATOSKY | 1.4% | 69.67 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 157.5
PLACE
1 40
3 42
5 43
QUINELLA
1,3 1,049
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 332
1,5 233
3,5 298
FORECAST
1,3 2,114
TIERCE
1,3,5 21,100
TRIO
1,3,5 3,670
FIRST 4
1,3,5,11 3,671
QUARTET
1,3,5,11 134,999
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,8/1,3,5 1,106,023
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 24
3RD DOUBLE
5/1 1,573
5/3 249.5