Happy Valley · 2022-10-30 · 16:11
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT Closed strongly TT 2.17.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 6.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 4 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly V-/B2 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BLASTOISE L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 2 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER OASIS B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 8.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 4.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON CP/SR/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | NORDIC SKY Led early SR/XB C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 7 | 31.0 | 4-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-30 was Class 3 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. HIT THE SHOT, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with ABOVE second and NEARLY FINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite NEARLY FINE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COPARTNER ELITES | 22.7% | 4.41 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | NEARLY FINE | 15.0% | 6.66 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH | 14.7% | 6.81 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT | 11.8% | 8.49 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 9.5% | 10.49 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | ABOVE | 6.4% | 15.72 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 6.3% | 15.79 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON | 5.9% | 16.93 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER OASIS | 5.3% | 18.86 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | NORDIC SKY | 2.4% | 41.59 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 62
PLACE
2 18.5
5 26.5
9 21
QUINELLA
5,9 384
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 96.5
2,9 64.5
5,9 121.5
FORECAST
9,5 667
TIERCE
9,5,2 3,153
TRIO
2,5,9 571
FIRST 4
2,5,9,10 315
QUARTET
9,5,2,10 9,231
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,7/2,5,9 11,151
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 25
6TH DOUBLE
2/5 30.5
2/9 133.5