Happy Valley · 2022-10-30 · 17:53
Race 10
Race 10 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-30 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. STREET SCREAM, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by 2, with COBHFIELD second and WINNING ICEY third. The 2.8 favourite WINNING ICEY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STREET SCREAM B/H/TT 1.09.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.1 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | COBHFIELD XB C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 4 | 53.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | WINNING ICEY TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 2 | 2.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 10 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | ALL BEAUTY CP2 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | LUCKY GOLD B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 6 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | POWER KOEPP E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | MAGIC PHOENIX B1/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 51.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | FLYING BONUS C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 64.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | MR MAJESTIC H L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 17.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | STRADALE B1/XB1/TT1 Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 11 | 9.7 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WINNING ICEY | 29.2% | 3.43 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | STREET SCREAM | 15.2% | 6.56 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | LUCKY GOLD | 8.6% | 11.58 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | POWER KOEPP | 7.8% | 12.77 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | ALL BEAUTY | 7.0% | 14.37 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | STRADALE | 6.4% | 15.60 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | MR MAJESTIC | 5.9% | 16.87 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT | 5.8% | 17.38 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 4.5% | 22.11 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 4.1% | 24.43 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | COBHFIELD | 3.8% | 26.31 | 2 |
| 12 | 11 | FLYING BONUS | 1.7% | 60.53 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 31
PLACE
2 14
3 118
6 13.5
QUINELLA
2,3 1,138
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 302
2,6 19
3,6 265.5
FORECAST
2,3 2,300
TIERCE
2,3,6 5,346
TRIO
2,3,6 471
FIRST 4
2,3,6,7 2,141
QUARTET
2,3,6,7 71,586
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 14.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
9,11,12/2,3,6 34,500
9TH DOUBLE
9/2 94.5
9/3 393.5
SIX UP
4/2/9/4/9/2 295,013
4,10/2,7/5,9/1,4/9,11/2,3 2,971
2 [J Size] —
6 [A Hamelin] —
TREBLE
4/9/2 4,594
4/9/3 9,727