Happy Valley · 2022-10-30 · 16:43
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-30 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RED MAJESTY, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-3/4, with ZONE D second and SEAWEED FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite NIMBLE NIMBUS finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 9.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | ROUND THE EARTH Closed strongly B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 5 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | MAJESTIC VICTORY TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 9 | 7.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION Led early V/SR1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 5.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | E LEGEND H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 8 | 9.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | ESCAPE ROUTE H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 9.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE B/XB/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 2 | 37.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ZONE D | 16.0% | 6.27 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 15.8% | 6.33 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 15.7% | 6.38 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION | 10.9% | 9.20 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 10.5% | 9.48 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | E LEGEND | 10.5% | 9.49 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 8.5% | 11.74 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE | 7.5% | 13.40 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | RED MAJESTY | 3.0% | 33.04 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | ROUND THE EARTH | 1.6% | 61.75 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 266
PLACE
1 16.5
4 53.5
9 26
QUINELLA
1,4 573
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 167
1,9 67
4,9 257.5
FORECAST
4,1 1,798
TIERCE
4,1,9 11,176
TRIO
1,4,9 1,059
FIRST 4
1,4,6,9 7,079
QUARTET
4,1,9,6 209,460
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 26.5
7TH DOUBLE
9/1 44.5
9/4 1,664