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Happy Valley · 2022-10-30 · 17:18

Race 9

Class 2 GOOD 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-30 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. REWARDING TOGETHER, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with FAMILY FOLKS second and PING HAI GALAXY third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.17
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT 1.09.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor 1 3.0 3/4
2 11 FAMILY FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang 10 15.0 3/4
3 12 PING HAI GALAXY A Badel · J Size 3 7.4 2-1/4
4 3 MAJESTIC STAR H Bentley · C S Shum 2 5.1 2-1/2
5 5 GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT C L Chau · W Y So 4 17.0 3-1/4
6 10 ASTROLOGER SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte 8 8.2 3-1/4
7 7 THE ROCK B C Y Ho · C Fownes 9 17.0 3-1/2
8 2 HARMONY AND RICH H T Mo · Y S Tsui 7 15.0 3-3/4
9 8 BUDDIES H-/B1/TT2 C Wong · J Richards 11 50.0 6-1/2
10 4 KEEP YOU WARM B/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui 5 20.0 7-3/4
11 1 CAMPIONE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 12 9.4 8
12 6 SILVER FIG B/TT K C Leung · A T Millard 6 50.0 8-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. REWARDING TOGETHER2. FAMILY FOLKS+0.75L3. PING HAI GALAXY+2.25L4. MAJESTIC STAR+2.5L5. GRATEFUL HEART+3.25L6. ASTROLOGER+3.25L7. THE ROCK+3.5L8. HARMONY AND RICH+3.75L9. BUDDIES+6.5L10. KEEP YOU WARM+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick MAJESTIC STAR (18.1%) finished 4th — the winner REWARDING TOGETHER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 MAJESTIC STAR 18.1% 5.53 4
2 9 REWARDING TOGETHER 14.0% 7.14 1
3 12 PING HAI GALAXY 13.0% 7.72 3
4 1 CAMPIONE 11.1% 9.01 11
5 11 FAMILY FOLKS 10.5% 9.53 2
6 10 ASTROLOGER 7.5% 13.40 6
7 7 THE ROCK 6.8% 14.68 7
8 5 GRATEFUL HEART 5.0% 20.05 5
9 2 HARMONY AND RICH 4.5% 22.42 8
10 6 SILVER FIG 3.6% 27.92 12
11 4 KEEP YOU WARM 3.1% 32.64 10
12 8 BUDDIES 3.0% 33.45 9
MAJESTIC STARREWARDING TOGETHER — wonPING HAI GALAXYCAMPIONEFAMILY FOLKSASTROLOGERTHE ROCKGRATEFUL HEARTHARMONY AND RICHSILVER FIGKEEP YOU WARMBUDDIES

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 30.5

PLACE

9 13.5

11 42

12 26.5

QUINELLA

9,11 217.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,11 81.5

9,12 50.5

11,12 167

FORECAST

9,11 360

TIERCE

9,11,12 2,312

TRIO

9,11,12 476

FIRST 4

3,9,11,12 413

QUARTET

9,11,12,3 7,876

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A1 19

A2

8TH DOUBLE

4/9 1,191.5

4/11 509.5