沙田 · 2023-07-16 · 16:01
第 1場
2023-07-16沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Currie策騎、J Size訓練的FINGERS CROSSED勝出，贏出3/4。SOARING TOWER獲得亞軍；I GIVE獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門VAMOS跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FINGERS CROSSED B/H/TT 1.10.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 4 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | SOARING TOWER B2/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 9.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | I GIVE CP-/TT- C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 7 | 8.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | VAMOS H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 1 | 2.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | VALHALLA XB/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 9.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | MIRACLES B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 4.1 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | LITTLE PLAYER B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 11 | 40.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | OUR CLASS ACT H H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 6 | 30.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | BRILLIANT PIONEER H/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 2 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SHENZHOU TWELVE B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 111.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | NORDIC COMBINED B/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 13 | 36.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | FLASH FAMOUS B/TT M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 5 | 70.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | BELL OF VICTORY B-/SR1/TT- L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 56.0 | 18-1/4 |
| — | 12 | NOIR RIDER Y L Chung · L Ho | Y L Chung | L Ho | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VAMOS | 26.1% | 3.84 | 4 |
| 2 | 13 | VALHALLA | 11.9% | 8.43 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | SOARING TOWER | 11.3% | 8.81 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | FINGERS CROSSED | 9.4% | 10.63 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 9.0% | 11.14 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | MIRACLES | 7.2% | 13.88 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | I GIVE | 7.2% | 13.90 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | OUR CLASS ACT | 6.0% | 16.57 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | LITTLE PLAYER | 3.6% | 27.99 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | NORDIC COMBINED | 3.3% | 29.91 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | BELL OF VICTORY | 2.8% | 36.06 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | FLASH FAMOUS | 1.3% | 76.12 | 12 |
| 13 | 1 | SHENZHOU TWELVE | 0.9% | 109.67 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 126
PLACE
3 22.5
7 26.5
8 31.5
QUINELLA
7,8 396.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 133.5
3,8 135.5
7,8 121.5
FORECAST
8,7 764
TIERCE
8,7,3 7,204
TRIO
3,7,8 1,284
FIRST 4
3,5,7,8 586
QUARTET
8,7,3,5 19,198
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 36.5
A2 —
A1 —