沙田 · 2023-07-16 · 18:01
第 5場
2023-07-16沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、A T Millard訓練的PARTERRE勝出，贏出N。MASTER HERO獲得亞軍；JUNE PLANET獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.6倍大熱門JUNE PLANET跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PARTERRE 後段發力 B 1.23.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 23.0 | N |
| 2 | 4 | MASTER HERO 後段發力 CP/XB/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 7.7 | N |
| 3 | 9 | JUNE PLANET 後段發力 V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 2.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | WIDE BLUE YONDER B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | PO ON WAY 後段發力 CP/H H Bowman · K H Ting | H Bowman | K H Ting | 13 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | PUBLICIST V Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 1 | 3.2 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | WOOD ON FIRE 後段發力 H/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 3 | 33.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | DARCI LEGEND TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 2 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | BRAVE AND BOLD L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 14 | 60.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | MELBOURNE HALL 後段發力 B/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 37.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | ALL RICHES 早段領放 CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | COPARTNER ERA 後段發力 B H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 12 | 77.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | DIAMOND DIAMOND B/TT- C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 89.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | SPANGLE FORTUNE CP/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 4 | 92.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PUBLICIST | 34.8% | 2.87 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | JUNE PLANET | 11.4% | 8.80 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 7.0% | 14.20 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | DARCI LEGEND | 6.6% | 15.17 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | PARTERRE | 6.0% | 16.54 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | MASTER HERO | 5.2% | 19.30 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 5.1% | 19.78 | 14 |
| 8 | 3 | ALL RICHES | 4.9% | 20.31 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | PO ON WAY | 4.8% | 20.74 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | MELBOURNE HALL | 4.7% | 21.42 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | WOOD ON FIRE | 3.6% | 27.54 | 7 |
| 12 | 13 | BRAVE AND BOLD | 2.4% | 40.90 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 2.2% | 45.16 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | COPARTNER ERA | 1.2% | 84.38 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 239.5
PLACE
1 48.5
4 22.5
9 11
QUINELLA
1,4 726
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 189
1,9 94.5
4,9 38.5
FORECAST
1,4 1,387
TIERCE
1,4,9 5,096
TRIO
1,4,9 551
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 1,061
QUARTET
1,4,9,2 38,361
全部彩池（另 4 項）
1ST TREBLE
4/3/1 8,477
4/3/4 6,015
8/3/1 16,104
8/3/4 2,229
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,10/1,4,9 62,577
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 35.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 5,731
3/4 685