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Sha Tin · 2023-07-16 · 18:01

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.23.42
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PARTERRE Closed strongly B 1.23.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard 10 23.0 N
2 0 MASTER HERO Closed strongly CP/XB/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 5 7.7 N
3 0 JUNE PLANET Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 9 2.6 1/2
4 0 WIDE BLUE YONDER B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 6 12.0 1-1/2
5 0 PO ON WAY Closed strongly CP/H H Bowman · K H Ting 13 23.0 2
6 0 PUBLICIST V Z Purton · P C Ng 1 3.2 2
7 0 WOOD ON FIRE Closed strongly H/TT M L Yeung · L Ho 3 33.0 4
8 0 DARCI LEGEND TT M Chadwick · K W Lui 2 18.0 4-1/4
9 0 BRAVE AND BOLD L Currie · J Size 14 60.0 5-1/4
10 0 MELBOURNE HALL Closed strongly B/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall 11 37.0 5-1/4
11 0 ALL RICHES Led early CP K C Leung · P F Yiu 8 15.0 5-1/2
12 0 COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B H W Lai · W Y So 12 77.0 5-3/4
13 0 DIAMOND DIAMOND B/TT- C L Chau · T P Yung 7 89.0 7
14 0 SPANGLE FORTUNE CP/TT M F Poon · K L Man 4 92.0 8-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PARTERRE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by N, with MASTER HERO second and JUNE PLANET third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite JUNE PLANET finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PARTERRE—2. MASTER HERO+0.05L3. JUNE PLANET+0.5L4. WIDE BLUE YONDER+1.5L5. PO ON WAY+2L6. PUBLICIST+2L7. WOOD ON FIRE+4L8. DARCI LEGEND+4.25L9. BRAVE AND BOLD+5.25L10. MELBOURNE HALL+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick PUBLICIST (34.8%) finished 6th — the winner PARTERRE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PUBLICIST 34.8% 2.87 6
2 0 JUNE PLANET 11.4% 8.80 3
3 0 WIDE BLUE YONDER 7.0% 14.20 4
4 0 DARCI LEGEND 6.6% 15.17 8
5 0 PARTERRE 6.0% 16.54 1
6 0 MASTER HERO 5.2% 19.30 2
7 0 SPANGLE FORTUNE 5.1% 19.78 14
8 0 ALL RICHES 4.9% 20.31 11
9 0 PO ON WAY 4.8% 20.74 5
10 0 MELBOURNE HALL 4.7% 21.42 10
11 0 WOOD ON FIRE 3.6% 27.54 7
12 0 BRAVE AND BOLD 2.4% 40.90 9
13 0 DIAMOND DIAMOND 2.2% 45.16 13
14 0 COPARTNER ERA 1.2% 84.38 12
PUBLICISTJUNE PLANETWIDE BLUE YONDERDARCI LEGENDPARTERRE — wonMASTER HEROSPANGLE FORTUNEALL RICHESPO ON WAYMELBOURNE HALLWOOD ON FIREBRAVE AND BOLDDIAMOND DIAMONDCOPARTNER ERA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 239.5

PLACE

1 48.5

4 22.5

9 11

QUINELLA

1,4 726

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 189

1,9 94.5

4,9 38.5

FORECAST

1,4 1,387

TIERCE

1,4,9 5,096

TRIO

1,4,9 551

FIRST 4

1,2,4,9 1,061

QUARTET

1,4,9,2 38,361

All pools (4 more)

1ST TREBLE

4/3/1 8,477

4/3/4 6,015

8/3/1 16,104

8/3/4 2,229

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,10/1,4,9 62,577

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 35.5

A2 —

4TH DOUBLE

3/1 5,731

3/4 685