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Sha Tin · 2023-07-16 · 18:01

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PARTERRE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by N, with MASTER HERO second and JUNE PLANET third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite JUNE PLANET finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.23.42
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 PARTERRE Closed strongly B 1.23.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard 10 23.0 N
2 4 MASTER HERO Closed strongly CP/XB/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 5 7.7 N
3 9 JUNE PLANET Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 9 2.6 1/2
4 2 WIDE BLUE YONDER B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 6 12.0 1-1/2
5 7 PO ON WAY Closed strongly CP/H H Bowman · K H Ting 13 23.0 2
6 8 PUBLICIST V Z Purton · P C Ng 1 3.2 2
7 5 WOOD ON FIRE Closed strongly H/TT M L Yeung · L Ho 3 33.0 4
8 12 DARCI LEGEND TT M Chadwick · K W Lui 2 18.0 4-1/4
9 13 BRAVE AND BOLD L Currie · J Size 14 60.0 5-1/4
10 6 MELBOURNE HALL Closed strongly B/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall 11 37.0 5-1/4
11 3 ALL RICHES Led early CP K C Leung · P F Yiu 8 15.0 5-1/2
12 14 COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B H W Lai · W Y So 12 77.0 5-3/4
13 11 DIAMOND DIAMOND B/TT- C L Chau · T P Yung 7 89.0 7
14 10 SPANGLE FORTUNE CP/TT M F Poon · K L Man 4 92.0 8-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PARTERRE2. MASTER HERO+0.05L3. JUNE PLANET+0.5L4. WIDE BLUE YONDER+1.5L5. PO ON WAY+2L6. PUBLICIST+2L7. WOOD ON FIRE+4L8. DARCI LEGEND+4.25L9. BRAVE AND BOLD+5.25L10. MELBOURNE HALL+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick PUBLICIST (34.8%) finished 6th — the winner PARTERRE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 PUBLICIST 34.8% 2.87 6
2 9 JUNE PLANET 11.4% 8.80 3
3 2 WIDE BLUE YONDER 7.0% 14.20 4
4 12 DARCI LEGEND 6.6% 15.17 8
5 1 PARTERRE 6.0% 16.54 1
6 4 MASTER HERO 5.2% 19.30 2
7 10 SPANGLE FORTUNE 5.1% 19.78 14
8 3 ALL RICHES 4.9% 20.31 11
9 7 PO ON WAY 4.8% 20.74 5
10 6 MELBOURNE HALL 4.7% 21.42 10
11 5 WOOD ON FIRE 3.6% 27.54 7
12 13 BRAVE AND BOLD 2.4% 40.90 9
13 11 DIAMOND DIAMOND 2.2% 45.16 13
14 14 COPARTNER ERA 1.2% 84.38 12
PUBLICISTJUNE PLANETWIDE BLUE YONDERDARCI LEGENDPARTERRE — wonMASTER HEROSPANGLE FORTUNEALL RICHESPO ON WAYMELBOURNE HALLWOOD ON FIREBRAVE AND BOLDDIAMOND DIAMONDCOPARTNER ERA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 239.5

PLACE

1 48.5

4 22.5

9 11

QUINELLA

1,4 726

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 189

1,9 94.5

4,9 38.5

FORECAST

1,4 1,387

TIERCE

1,4,9 5,096

TRIO

1,4,9 551

FIRST 4

1,2,4,9 1,061

QUARTET

1,4,9,2 38,361

All pools (4 more)

1ST TREBLE

4/3/1 8,477

4/3/4 6,015

8/3/1 16,104

8/3/4 2,229

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,10/1,4,9 62,577

3 PICK 1

A2

A3 35.5

A1

4TH DOUBLE

3/1 5,731

3/4 685