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Sha Tin · 2023-07-16 · 21:24

Race 11

Class 2 GOOD TO YIELDING 1200m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.10.26
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN EXPRESS 1.10.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size 11 2.7 SH
2 0 BUNDLE OF CHARM K Teetan · J Size 3 15.0 SH
3 0 PACKING TREADMILL SR B Avdulla · K W Lui 4 8.7 N
4 0 FLYING ACE B H Bowman · D J Hall 7 5.9 1/2
5 0 ADIOS TT A Badel · F C Lor 13 19.0 2
6 0 GOKO WIN B M L Yeung · C H Yip 2 28.0 4
8 0 BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 8 7.1 5-1/2
9 0 KA YING MASTER TT C L Chau · T P Yung 5 64.0 6-3/4
10 0 COMPUTER PATCH V/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting 9 49.0 7-3/4
11 0 ATOMIC FORCE XB/H1 H Bentley · C Fownes 10 59.0 7-3/4
12 0 YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 1 6.3 9-1/4
13 0 ROCK YA HEART TT M F Poon · K W Lui 6 25.0 9-3/4
— 0 POWER KOEPP E K C Leung · K L Man — 51.0 4-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-16 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. GOLDEN EXPRESS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by SH, with BUNDLE OF CHARM second and PACKING TREADMILL third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN EXPRESS—2. BUNDLE OF CHARM+0.1L3. PACKING TREADMILL+0.05L4. FLYING ACE+0.5L5. ADIOS+2L6. GOKO WIN+4L8. BEAUTY CHARGE+5.5L9. KA YING MASTER+6.75L10. COMPUTER PATCH+7.75L11. ATOMIC FORCE+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick GOLDEN EXPRESS (25.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN EXPRESS 25.0% 4.00 1
2 0 YOUTHFUL DEAL 23.1% 4.33 12
3 0 BEAUTY CHARGE 11.2% 8.96 8
4 0 FLYING ACE 7.5% 13.27 4
5 0 ADIOS 7.5% 13.31 5
6 0 ROCK YA HEART 7.4% 13.57 13
7 0 BUNDLE OF CHARM 7.0% 14.31 2
8 0 PACKING TREADMILL 2.6% 39.19 3
9 0 COMPUTER PATCH 2.0% 50.01 10
10 0 POWER KOEPP 1.9% 53.10 —
11 0 GOKO WIN 1.7% 58.21 6
12 0 ATOMIC FORCE 1.7% 59.36 11
13 0 KA YING MASTER 1.5% 66.16 9
GOLDEN EXPRESS — wonYOUTHFUL DEALBEAUTY CHARGEFLYING ACEADIOSROCK YA HEARTBUNDLE OF CHARMPACKING TREADMILLCOMPUTER PATCHPOWER KOEPPGOKO WINATOMIC FORCEKA YING MASTER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 27.5

PLACE

2 14

4 24.5

13 39.5

QUINELLA

2,13 206

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 52

2,13 78.5

4,13 147.5

FORECAST

2,13 516

TIERCE

2,13,4 2,790

TRIO

2,4,13 515

FIRST 4

2,4,8,13 653

QUARTET

2,13,4,8 12,333

All pools (5 more)

10TH DOUBLE

4/2 42

4/13 59

2ND TREBLE

6/4/2 343

6/4/13 217

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 19

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,6/2,4,13 12,701

SIX UP

5,9/7,8/4,5/6,8,9/4,6/2,13 3,493

9/7/5/6/4/2 396,709

1 [J Size] —

1 [Z Purton] —