Sha Tin · 2023-07-16 · 18:31
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KARMA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 1, with ARIEL second and ENDEARED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite COPARTNER AMBITION finished 13th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | KARMA Closed strongly TT 1.22.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 4.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | ARIEL CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | ENDEARED Closed strongly XB A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 9.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | SPEEDSTAR Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly B Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 9 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | FASTPASS B/XB/SR1 M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 11 | 144.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | DIVINE ERA Led early H/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 12 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | EVER BLESSING CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 43.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | MAYHEM H M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 28.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | BEAR SLAM B-/XB1 C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 3 | 89.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | AMAZING TRAVIS Closed strongly H/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 13 | 117.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | MULTIDARLING Closed strongly CP-/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 24.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION B-/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 5 | 3.6 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 16.0 | 13-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SPEEDY CHARIOT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ARIEL | 29.6% | 3.37 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | KARMA | 14.6% | 6.83 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | ENDEARED | 10.9% | 9.19 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | MULTIDARLING | 8.2% | 12.20 | 12 |
| 5 | 6 | KASI FARASI | 7.2% | 13.87 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 6.4% | 15.53 | 13 |
| 7 | 7 | DIVINE ERA | 6.3% | 15.91 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | EVER BLESSING | 4.0% | 25.21 | 8 |
| 9 | 13 | SPEEDSTAR | 3.3% | 29.86 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | MAYHEM | 3.0% | 33.49 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | MY INTELLIGENT | 2.4% | 40.84 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | AMAZING TRAVIS | 1.9% | 53.07 | 11 |
| 13 | 4 | BEAR SLAM | 1.3% | 76.69 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | FASTPASS | 0.8% | 130.77 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 44.5
PLACE
3 30.5
5 17
9 14
QUINELLA
5,9 114
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 83.5
3,9 77
5,9 48
FORECAST
9,5 242
TIERCE
9,5,3 1,157
TRIO
3,5,9 218
FIRST 4
3,5,9,13 806
QUARTET
9,5,3,13 13,565
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 25.5
5TH DOUBLE
1/5 187
1/9 1,419