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Sha Tin · 2023-07-16 · 18:31

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.43
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KARMA Closed strongly TT 1.22.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes 4 4.4 1
2 0 ARIEL CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 7 4.0 1
4 0 SPEEDSTAR Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall 2 22.0 4
5 0 KASI FARASI Closed strongly B Y L Chung · C H Yip 9 14.0 5-1/4
6 0 FASTPASS B/XB/SR1 M L Yeung · K W Lui 11 144.0 6
7 0 DIVINE ERA Led early H/TT K Teetan · K H Ting 12 16.0 6-1/4
8 0 EVER BLESSING CP K C Leung · P F Yiu 14 43.0 7
9 0 MAYHEM H M Chadwick · F C Lor 6 28.0 7-3/4
10 0 BEAR SLAM B-/XB1 C Wong · C W Chang 3 89.0 7-3/4
11 0 AMAZING TRAVIS Closed strongly H/TT L Hewitson · W Y So 13 117.0 8-1/2
12 0 MULTIDARLING Closed strongly CP-/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 10 24.0 8-3/4
13 0 COPARTNER AMBITION B-/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum 5 3.6 9-1/4
14 0 MY INTELLIGENT V/TT H T Mo · L Ho 1 16.0 13-1/4
— 0 ENDEARED Closed strongly XB A Badel · J Size — 9.2 3-1/2
— 0 SPEEDY CHARIOT H Bowman · D J Whyte — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KARMA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 1, with ARIEL second and SPEEDSTAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite COPARTNER AMBITION finished 13th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KARMA—2. ARIEL+1L4. SPEEDSTAR+4L5. KASI FARASI+5.25L6. FASTPASS+6L7. DIVINE ERA+6.25L8. EVER BLESSING+7L9. MAYHEM+7.75L10. BEAR SLAM+7.75L11. AMAZING TRAVIS+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick ARIEL (29.6%) finished 2nd — the winner KARMA was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ARIEL 29.6% 3.37 2
2 0 KARMA 14.6% 6.83 1
3 0 ENDEARED 10.9% 9.19 —
4 0 MULTIDARLING 8.2% 12.20 12
5 0 KASI FARASI 7.2% 13.87 5
6 0 COPARTNER AMBITION 6.4% 15.53 13
7 0 DIVINE ERA 6.3% 15.91 7
8 0 EVER BLESSING 4.0% 25.21 8
9 0 SPEEDSTAR 3.3% 29.86 4
10 0 MAYHEM 3.0% 33.49 9
11 0 MY INTELLIGENT 2.4% 40.84 14
12 0 AMAZING TRAVIS 1.9% 53.07 11
13 0 BEAR SLAM 1.3% 76.69 10
14 0 FASTPASS 0.8% 130.77 6
ARIELKARMA — wonENDEAREDMULTIDARLINGKASI FARASICOPARTNER AMBITIONDIVINE ERAEVER BLESSINGSPEEDSTARMAYHEMMY INTELLIGENTAMAZING TRAVISBEAR SLAMFASTPASS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 44.5

PLACE

3 30.5

5 17

9 14

QUINELLA

5,9 114

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 83.5

3,9 77

5,9 48

FORECAST

9,5 242

TIERCE

9,5,3 1,157

TRIO

3,5,9 218

FIRST 4

3,5,9,13 806

QUARTET

9,5,3,13 13,565

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 25.5

A3 —

5TH DOUBLE

1/5 187

1/9 1,419