Sha Tin · 2023-07-16 · 20:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly 1.23.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 1.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 4 | 9.4 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 14 | 8.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 6.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS Led early V-/B1/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 10 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BIG RED H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 2 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE Closed strongly B L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 9 | 72.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | QUANTUM PATCH TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 46.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER FOOTBALL Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 140.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP CP H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 110.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 17.0 | 22-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | IMPERIAL GOODNESS SR1/TT1 K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 3 | 131.0 | 48-1/2 |
| — | 0 | ALL ARE MINE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | 91.0 | 6-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-16 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SIMPLE HEDGE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by N, with HAPPY DAILY second and CIRCUIT MIGHTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 38.1% | 2.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD | 14.9% | 6.71 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 11.8% | 8.49 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY | 7.0% | 14.26 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 5.6% | 17.81 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | QUANTUM PATCH | 5.0% | 19.81 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 4.0% | 25.10 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | BIG RED | 3.0% | 33.03 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 2.6% | 39.11 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE | 2.5% | 39.38 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 1.8% | 55.34 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER FOOTBALL | 1.5% | 67.67 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | ALL ARE MINE | 1.4% | 71.47 | — |
| 14 | 0 | IMPERIAL GOODNESS | 0.7% | 144.96 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 19.5
PLACE
4 11.5
5 24.5
6 25.5
QUINELLA
4,6 88.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 38
4,6 39
5,6 91
FORECAST
4,6 113
TIERCE
4,6,5 696
TRIO
4,5,6 213
FIRST 4
4,5,6,11 192
QUARTET
4,6,5,11 2,517
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A2 —
A3 —
9TH DOUBLE
6/4 134.5
6/6 79.5