Sha Tin · 2023-07-16 · 16:31
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING Closed strongly B/TT 1.23.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 2 | 9.5 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | VANTASTIC CHOICE Closed strongly B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 6 | 2.1 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER Closed strongly B/XB/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 3 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER OF LUCK Led early B/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 12 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA Closed strongly B2/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 69.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NOBLE ACE TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 8 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly B/H/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 10 | 50.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 4 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | YOUNG SPARKLE B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 13 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | INSPIRING CITY XB1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 5 | 8.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 7 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 11 | 120.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 9 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-16 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ERNEST FEELING, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with VANTASTIC CHOICE second and FORTUNE MASTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite VANTASTIC CHOICE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 24.2% | 4.14 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 14.2% | 7.03 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | DOUBLE SHOW | 8.9% | 11.27 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING | 8.3% | 11.99 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | MASTER OF LUCK | 8.3% | 12.07 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 8.2% | 12.15 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | INSPIRING CITY | 7.1% | 14.12 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER HORNET | 5.2% | 19.27 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | NOBLE ACE | 5.1% | 19.43 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 3.5% | 28.17 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 2.4% | 41.92 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 2.3% | 42.91 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 2.2% | 45.48 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 95.5
PLACE
2 13.5
5 26.5
10 31
QUINELLA
2,5 131.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 55
2,10 61
5,10 103.5
FORECAST
5,2 396
TIERCE
5,2,10 2,292
TRIO
2,5,10 237
FIRST 4
1,2,5,10 380
QUARTET
5,2,10,1 10,691
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/2 52.5
8/5 616
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 35.5
A1 —