Sha Tin · 2023-07-16 · 20:16
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-16 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LEADING FORTUNE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by N, with UNIVERSAL HORIZON second and E LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite UNIVERSAL HORIZON finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B 1.35.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 6.4 | N |
| 2 | 8 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 3.7 | N |
| 3 | 7 | E LEGEND Led early B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 13 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H2 Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 7 | 5.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 5.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly V H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 8 | 122.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | CHARITY BINGO M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | SO WE JOY CP-/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 1 | 33.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 12 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | PRECISE EXPRESS H-/TT2 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 76.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | SERANGOON H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 30.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | PERFECT TEAM B1/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 55.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 9 | IVY LEAGUE A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 20.4% | 4.89 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | AMAZING VICTORY | 15.2% | 6.57 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 12.4% | 8.04 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 10.3% | 9.75 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | LEADING FORTUNE | 9.3% | 10.78 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | SO WE JOY | 7.5% | 13.38 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | PERFECT TEAM | 5.5% | 18.21 | 13 |
| 8 | 7 | E LEGEND | 5.2% | 19.37 | 3 |
| 9 | 14 | ENTRUSTED | 3.9% | 25.72 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 3.3% | 30.24 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 2.5% | 40.01 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | SERANGOON | 2.4% | 41.76 | 12 |
| 13 | 4 | CHARITY BINGO | 2.1% | 46.69 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 64.5
PLACE
6 23.5
7 31
8 15.5
QUINELLA
6,8 126.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 108
6,8 50.5
7,8 69
FORECAST
6,8 285
TIERCE
6,8,7 1,941
TRIO
6,7,8 429
FIRST 4
1,6,7,8 357
QUARTET
6,8,7,1 9,665
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 27
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,5/6,7>8,9 11,941
8TH DOUBLE
5/6 287.5
5/8,9 44