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Sha Tin · 2023-07-16 · 19:05

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ENTERPRISE ATTACK, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with GLOBAL HARMONY second and DRAGON'S LUCK third. The 1.9 favourite PACKING BOLE finished 13th.

Result

Official · 1.09.56
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 ENTERPRISE ATTACK 1.09.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 21.0 1-1/2
2 8 GLOBAL HARMONY CP K Teetan · D A Hayes 4 12.0 1-1/2
3 1 DRAGON'S LUCK L Hewitson · D J Whyte 2 10.0 3-3/4
4 13 CZARSON B/TT A Badel · P F Yiu 11 72.0 4-1/4
5 3 OUTGATE H/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz 3 23.0 4-1/2
6 9 SELF IMPROVEMENT TT B Avdulla · K L Man 13 9.1 4-3/4
7 4 O'LINER SB-/P1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 5 99.0 6-1/4
7 6 PHOENIX LIGHT H/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 7 27.0 6-1/4
9 10 HAPPY GOLF M Chadwick · F C Lor 12 55.0 6-1/4
10 2 SOLID IMPACT B1 H Bowman · D J Hall 8 9.1 6-3/4
11 12 MUGEN TT Z Purton · P C Ng 10 10.0 10-1/4
12 5 CHATEAU B1 L Currie · J Size 6 44.0 11-1/2
13 14 PACKING BOLE M F Poon · C S Shum 14 1.9 14
14 11 KILINDINI B/TT K C Leung · A T Millard 9 41.0 17

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ENTERPRISE ATTACK2. GLOBAL HARMONY+1.5L3. DRAGON'S LUCK+3.75L4. CZARSON+4.25L5. OUTGATE+4.5L6. SELF IMPROVEMENT+4.75L7. O'LINER+6.25L7. PHOENIX LIGHT+6.25L9. HAPPY GOLF+6.25L10. SOLID IMPACT+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick PACKING BOLE (23.4%) finished 13th — the winner ENTERPRISE ATTACK was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 14 PACKING BOLE 23.4% 4.28 13
2 12 MUGEN 18.6% 5.39 11
3 10 HAPPY GOLF 9.5% 10.55 9
4 2 SOLID IMPACT 8.8% 11.38 10
5 8 GLOBAL HARMONY 8.1% 12.37 2
6 1 DRAGON'S LUCK 7.4% 13.42 3
7 7 ENTERPRISE ATTACK 5.6% 17.74 1
8 11 KILINDINI 4.8% 20.62 14
9 9 SELF IMPROVEMENT 4.8% 20.91 6
10 6 PHOENIX LIGHT 3.6% 27.72 7
11 13 CZARSON 2.5% 40.52 4
12 3 OUTGATE 1.5% 68.02 5
13 5 CHATEAU 0.8% 128.43 12
14 4 O'LINER 0.7% 149.11 7
PACKING BOLEMUGENHAPPY GOLFSOLID IMPACTGLOBAL HARMONYDRAGON'S LUCKENTERPRISE ATTACK — wonKILINDINISELF IMPROVEMENTPHOENIX LIGHTCZARSONOUTGATECHATEAUO'LINER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 216

PLACE

1 31

7 52

8 31.5

QUINELLA

7,8 914

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 221.5

1,8 147

7,8 240

FORECAST

7,8 2,130

TIERCE

7,8,1 12,674

TRIO

1,7,8 1,925

FIRST 4

1,7,8,13 37,130

QUARTET

7,8,1,13 826,906

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A1

A3 31

A2

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,9/1,7,8 30,000

6TH DOUBLE

9/7 630

9/8 65

TRIPLE TRIO

1,4,9/3,5,9/1,7,8 6,665,260

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,4,9/3,5,9/Any Combination 2,463