Sha Tin · 2023-07-16 · 19:37
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly TT 1.34.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 4.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.9 | N |
| 3 | 0 | TUCHEL Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT Led early SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | RED LION Closed strongly A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 8.9 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly V/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 12 | 110.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN XB/H2/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HAVA NAGEELA B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 2 | 50.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND B Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 1 | 94.0 | 33 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-16 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. ENCOUNTERED, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won by N, with CIRCUIT STELLAR second and TUCHEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite TUCHEL finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAVA NAGEELA | 22.5% | 4.45 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | TUCHEL | 22.1% | 4.52 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN | 10.2% | 9.80 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | RED LION | 9.1% | 11.04 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT | 8.1% | 12.30 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 8.1% | 12.33 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED | 7.3% | 13.77 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 3.7% | 27.12 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 3.2% | 31.36 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE | 2.4% | 42.42 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 2.0% | 50.14 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 1.4% | 69.75 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 49
PLACE
2 15.5
4 24.5
5 22
QUINELLA
4,5 217
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 54
2,5 56
4,5 76
FORECAST
5,4 546
TIERCE
5,4,2 1,658
TRIO
2,4,5 262
FIRST 4
2,4,5,8 187
QUARTET
5,4,2,8 5,775
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 24.5
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/4 252.5
7/5 1,806