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Sha Tin · 2023-07-16 · 17:02

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-16 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FUN N GLORY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by DH, with HONG KONG HALL second and BEATO third. The 1.8 favourite BABY CRYSTAL finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.09.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 FUN N GLORY E/TT 1.09.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So 6 47.0 DH
1 8 HONG KONG HALL TT 1.09.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall 14 5.4 DH
3 2 BEATO B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 32.0 1-1/4
4 6 AWESOME TREASURE TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 3 12.0 1-1/4
5 1 BABY CRYSTAL TT H Bowman · J Size 4 1.8 1-1/4
6 11 MR MAJESTIC CP1/SR2/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte 8 113.0 1-3/4
7 7 TALENTS SUPREMO XB H Bentley · R Gibson 2 30.0 2-1/2
8 14 SUPER FAST DRAGON CP-/TT L Currie · J Richards 12 29.0 2-3/4
9 3 COBHFIELD B A Hamelin · A T Millard 5 29.0 3-1/2
10 5 FUN TOGETHER CP1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 9 47.0 3-1/2
11 12 NICETOBEMET CP/XB K Teetan · F C Lor 1 6.5 3-1/2
12 10 KILLER INSTINCT V/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 13 27.0 3-3/4
13 9 SIMPLY MAVERICK B1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu 7 41.0 3-3/4
14 13 CURLING SPEED B- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 11 180.0 4-1/2
0 KA YING WARRIOR Z Purton · C H Yip

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FUN N GLORY1. HONG KONG HALL3. BEATO+1.25L4. AWESOME TREASURE+1.25L5. BABY CRYSTAL+1.25L6. MR MAJESTIC+1.75L7. TALENTS SUPREMO+2.5L8. SUPER FAST DRAGON+2.75L9. COBHFIELD+3.5L10. FUN TOGETHER+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick HONG KONG HALL (21.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 HONG KONG HALL 21.2% 4.71 1
2 1 BABY CRYSTAL 20.7% 4.83 5
3 12 NICETOBEMET 16.3% 6.14 11
4 6 AWESOME TREASURE 5.8% 17.18 4
5 7 TALENTS SUPREMO 5.4% 18.53 7
6 9 SIMPLY MAVERICK 5.3% 18.93 13
7 10 KILLER INSTINCT 5.0% 19.88 12
8 2 BEATO 4.3% 23.35 3
9 4 FUN N GLORY 3.9% 25.56 1
10 14 SUPER FAST DRAGON 3.7% 27.36 8
11 3 COBHFIELD 3.3% 29.96 9
12 5 FUN TOGETHER 3.3% 30.41 10
13 11 MR MAJESTIC 1.1% 90.78 6
14 13 CURLING SPEED 0.7% 146.73 14
HONG KONG HALL — wonBABY CRYSTALNICETOBEMETAWESOME TREASURETALENTS SUPREMOSIMPLY MAVERICKKILLER INSTINCTBEATOFUN N GLORY — wonSUPER FAST DRAGONCOBHFIELDFUN TOGETHERMR MAJESTICCURLING SPEED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 239

8 27.5

PLACE

2 69

4 83.5

8 19.5

QUINELLA

4,8 1,069.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 694.5

2,8 233.5

4,8 263

FORECAST

4,8 1,189

8,4 785

TIERCE

4,8,2 19,298

8,4,2 12,051

TRIO

2,4,8 4,708

FIRST 4

2,4,6,8 7,011

QUARTET

4,8,2,6 110,079

8,4,2,6 71,469

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,5,10/2,4,8 168,301

2ND DOUBLE

5/4 1,733.5

5/8 260

3 PICK 1

A1

A3 23.5

A2 16.5