沙田 · 2023-07-16 · 21:24
第 11場
2023-07-16沙田第11場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的GOLDEN EXPRESS勝出，贏出SH。BUNDLE OF CHARM獲得亞軍；PACKING TREADMILL獲得季軍。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOLDEN EXPRESS 1.10.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 2.7 | SH |
| 2 | 13 | BUNDLE OF CHARM K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 15.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | PACKING TREADMILL SR B Avdulla · K W Lui | B Avdulla | K W Lui | 4 | 8.7 | N |
| 4 | 8 | FLYING ACE B H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 7 | 5.9 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | ADIOS TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 13 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | GOKO WIN B M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 2 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | POWER KOEPP E K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 7.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | KA YING MASTER TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 64.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | COMPUTER PATCH V/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 9 | 49.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | ATOMIC FORCE XB/H1 H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 59.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 6.3 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | ROCK YA HEART TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 25.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOLDEN EXPRESS | 25.0% | 4.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 23.1% | 4.33 | 12 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 11.2% | 8.96 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | FLYING ACE | 7.5% | 13.27 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | ADIOS | 7.5% | 13.31 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | ROCK YA HEART | 7.4% | 13.57 | 13 |
| 7 | 13 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 7.0% | 14.31 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | PACKING TREADMILL | 2.6% | 39.19 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | COMPUTER PATCH | 2.0% | 50.01 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | POWER KOEPP | 1.9% | 53.10 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | GOKO WIN | 1.7% | 58.21 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | ATOMIC FORCE | 1.7% | 59.36 | 11 |
| 13 | 6 | KA YING MASTER | 1.5% | 66.16 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 27.5
PLACE
2 14
4 24.5
13 39.5
QUINELLA
2,13 206
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 52
2,13 78.5
4,13 147.5
FORECAST
2,13 516
TIERCE
2,13,4 2,790
TRIO
2,4,13 515
FIRST 4
2,4,8,13 653
QUARTET
2,13,4,8 12,333
全部彩池（另 5 項）
10TH DOUBLE
4/2 42
4/13 59
2ND TREBLE
6/4/2 343
6/4/13 217
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/2,4,13 12,701
SIX UP
5,9/7,8/4,5/6,8,9/4,6/2,13 3,493
9/7/5/6/4/2 396,709
1 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —