沙田 · 2023-07-16 · 17:31
第 4場
2023-07-16沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、P F Yiu訓練的BULLETPROOF勝出，贏出1-1/4。BILLIONAIRE SECRET獲得亞軍；PROSECCO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.2倍大熱門BILLIONAIRE SECRET跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BULLETPROOF 後段發力 V 1.48.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 4 | 39.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET 後段發力 H/PC/XB C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 9 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | PROSECCO 後段發力 SR/V1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPER HONG KONG 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 5 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | WIN WIN FIGHTER B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 12 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | HIGH CLOUD 後段發力 SR-/XB/V1/TT1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 14 | 35.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | JOYFUL GENIUS 後段發力 B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | RIGHT AS RAIN 後段發力 B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 11 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | PACKING SUCCEEDER TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 1 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | CIRCUIT NINE 後段發力 B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 2 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | LEATHER MASTER B H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 13 | 214.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 13 | OSCAR GLORY V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 25.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | YEABOI TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 7 | 57.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | LUCKY VICTOR 早段領放 B/TT C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 88.0 | 19-1/4 |
| — | 0 | FOREVER FOLKS A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 18.4% | 5.42 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | PROSECCO | 15.3% | 6.55 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER HONG KONG | 14.2% | 7.06 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | PACKING SUCCEEDER | 7.6% | 13.24 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 6.7% | 14.94 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | YEABOI | 6.4% | 15.57 | 13 |
| 7 | 6 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 5.6% | 17.90 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | OSCAR GLORY | 5.6% | 17.94 | 12 |
| 9 | 14 | LUCKY VICTOR | 4.7% | 21.28 | 14 |
| 10 | 3 | BULLETPROOF | 4.3% | 23.28 | 1 |
| 11 | 5 | CIRCUIT NINE | 3.6% | 27.86 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | HIGH CLOUD | 3.5% | 28.76 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 3.4% | 29.56 | 8 |
| 14 | 11 | LEATHER MASTER | 0.9% | 117.60 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 398
PLACE
3 81.5
4 13
10 19
QUINELLA
3,4 452
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 151
3,10 248
4,10 31
FORECAST
3,4 868
TIERCE
3,4,10 7,636
TRIO
3,4,10 624
FIRST 4
1,3,4,10 604
QUARTET
3,4,10,1 22,857
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 35
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
4/3 3,005
4/4 116.5
8/3 755.5
8/4 17