Sha Tin · 2019-09-15
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. DEAL MAKER, ridden by C Schofield and trained by K H Ting, won by 3-1/2, with ENFOLDING second and GOOD RUNNERS WAY third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DEAL MAKER Wire to wire H 1.39.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 6 | 2.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | ENFOLDING Closed strongly Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 7 | 3.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 4 | 8.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | KHAKI Closed strongly B K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 3 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | GOOD FIT Closed strongly PC/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | HAY RUN Closed strongly H/P2/TT N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 5 | 15.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly B-/P2 H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 8 | 44.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | BRING IT ON TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 9 | 48.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | RAZOR QUEST B-/TT J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 2 | 9.5 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY | 30.4% | 3.29 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | ENFOLDING | 23.2% | 4.30 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | DEAL MAKER | 19.8% | 5.06 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | RAZOR QUEST | 6.2% | 16.04 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | KHAKI | 5.9% | 16.92 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | HAY RUN | 4.7% | 21.27 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | GOOD FIT | 4.5% | 22.46 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 3.6% | 27.69 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | BRING IT ON | 1.7% | 57.69 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 20
PLACE
3 13.5
4 10.5
8 21
QUINELLA
3,4 34.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 17.5
3,8 41.5
4,8 32.5
TIERCE
4,3,8 182
TRIO
3,4,8 61
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 246
QUARTET
4,3,8,2 2,027
1ST DOUBLE
3/3 10.5
3/4 37.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A2 —
A3 —