Sha Tin · 2019-09-15
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-15 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. BUDDIES, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Moore, won by 1-1/4, with BEAR SLAM second and HAPPY SEBRING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BUDDIES Closed strongly H/TT 1.38.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 2 | 1.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | BEAR SLAM Closed strongly N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 11 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY SEBRING Closed strongly B-/PC1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | RULETHEROOST Closed strongly CP C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 4 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | VOLPINO Closed strongly H/XB/TT J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 3 | 7.9 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly SR M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 8.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | TANG FLEMING Led early B/TT K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 9 | 24.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 7 | 89.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT P2/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 1 | 71.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/P/TT K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 8 | 74.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | RULE THEE U Rispoli · P O'Sullivan | U Rispoli | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 43.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 11 | CLEAR CHOICE G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BUDDIES | 35.4% | 2.82 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | VOLPINO | 15.6% | 6.43 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY SEBRING | 13.1% | 7.63 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | RULETHEROOST | 7.9% | 12.61 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 7.2% | 13.96 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | TANG FLEMING | 5.8% | 17.38 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | BEAR SLAM | 4.9% | 20.45 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | RULE THEE | 3.7% | 27.24 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | OWNERS' STAR | 3.7% | 27.28 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 1.4% | 69.06 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 1.4% | 72.32 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 16
PLACE
1 10.1
4 19
5 33
QUINELLA
1,5 94
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 21.5
1,5 42
4,5 114
TIERCE
1,5,4 592
TRIO
1,4,5 164
FIRST 4
1,4,5,10 531
QUARTET
1,5,4,10 6,128
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 13.5
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
5/1,11 290.5
5/5 263