Sha Tin · 2019-09-15
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-15 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SOLOMON'S BAY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with CALIFORNIA GUNGHO second and NEW ASIA SUNRISE third. The 1.8 favourite CALIFORNIA GUNGHO finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SOLOMON'S BAY CP/XB 1.08.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 8.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 5 | 1.8 | N |
| 3 | 6 | NEW ASIA SUNRISE C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 6 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | GRATWICK TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 8 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER WISE H/P/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 1 | 5.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | THRILLED SR M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | DECISIVE ACTION T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 4 | 81.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE H/V U Rispoli · L Ho | U Rispoli | L Ho | 10 | 44.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | WINSTON'S LAD H H W Lai · K W Lui | H W Lai | K W Lui | 9 | 44.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | GEORGIAN MANOR H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 2 | 108.0 | 16-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO | 35.4% | 2.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | SOLOMON'S BAY | 20.3% | 4.93 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER WISE | 13.8% | 7.26 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | NEW ASIA SUNRISE | 7.9% | 12.58 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 6.0% | 16.59 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | THRILLED | 5.2% | 19.18 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | GRATWICK | 4.2% | 24.03 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | GEORGIAN MANOR | 2.8% | 35.32 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | DECISIVE ACTION | 2.2% | 45.42 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | WINSTON'S LAD | 2.2% | 46.40 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 80
PLACE
3 20
6 14.5
8 11.5
QUINELLA
3,8 65.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 44.5
3,8 29.5
6,8 20
TIERCE
3,8,6 570
TRIO
3,6,8 66
FIRST 4
3,6,7,8 388
QUARTET
3,8,6,7 9,267
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 25
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
3/3 432
3/8 29