Sha Tin · 2019-09-15
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-15 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SIMPLE ELEGANT, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with SPRINT FORWARD second and DIONYSUS COLLIN third. The winner led throughout. The 2.6 favourite VICTORY POWER finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SIMPLE ELEGANT Wire to wire V 1.21.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 10 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | SPRINT FORWARD Closed strongly B-/H-/XB/CP1/TT1 Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 5 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | DIONYSUS COLLIN Closed strongly H/XB M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 1 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | HURRICANE HUNTER Closed strongly J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 2 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | VICTORY POWER XB1/B2/TT- C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 3 | 2.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | TELECOM ROCKET K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 13 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | CARE FREE PRINCE B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 6 | 58.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 4 | 31.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | KA YING BRILLIANCE Closed strongly H/V/XB M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 41.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | WINNING CONTROLLER B H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 61.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | KING'S RACE TT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 7 | 10.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | VIVA COUNCIL H H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 12 | 29.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | WINNING TOGETHER B- R Bayliss · C W Chang | R Bayliss | C W Chang | 9 | 136.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 1 | DIAMOND RHYME K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VICTORY POWER | 20.2% | 4.96 | 5 |
| 2 | 12 | HURRICANE HUNTER | 13.5% | 7.42 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | KING'S RACE | 11.0% | 9.05 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | SIMPLE ELEGANT | 8.5% | 11.74 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | SPRINT FORWARD | 7.7% | 12.93 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 7.4% | 13.51 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | VIVA COUNCIL | 7.3% | 13.64 | 12 |
| 8 | 13 | TELECOM ROCKET | 6.7% | 14.96 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 5.7% | 17.68 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 4.1% | 24.27 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 3.0% | 33.22 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | WINNING CONTROLLER | 2.9% | 34.33 | 10 |
| 13 | 7 | WINNING TOGETHER | 1.9% | 51.72 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 110
PLACE
5 33
11 32.5
14 32
QUINELLA
5,11 752
QUINELLA PLACE
5,11 209
5,14 162.5
11,14 213.5
TIERCE
5,11,14 16,645
TRIO
5,11,14 2,375
FIRST 4
5,11,12,14 1,848
QUARTET
5,11,14,12 57,206
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,8/5,11,14 79,564
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 36
6TH DOUBLE
6/5 414.5
6/11 57.5