Sha Tin · 2019-09-15
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MISTER MONTE Closed strongly CP 1.34.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 3 | 3.3 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | LE PANACHE Closed strongly B A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | REGENCY GEM Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 10 | 2.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WICKER Closed strongly B N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 4 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | DOCTORS DELIGHT H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LITTLE FANTASY CP/TT R Bayliss · K L Man | R Bayliss | K L Man | 9 | 54.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY Closed strongly B M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 5 | 62.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MONEY WINNER B-/V1 C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 8 | 44.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GLORIAM Led early V/TT H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 7 | 99.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DATING B/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 2 | 42.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING CIRCLE CP-/B2/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 149.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 0 | MAJESTIC ENDEAVOUR CP-/TT- Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 12 | 10.0 | 17 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-15 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MISTER MONTE, ridden by K H Chan and trained by C W Chang, won by SH, with LE PANACHE second and REGENCY GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite REGENCY GEM finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 24.8% | 4.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | MISTER MONTE | 14.9% | 6.73 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MAJESTIC ENDEAVOUR | 8.7% | 11.45 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | MONEY WINNER | 8.1% | 12.40 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | WICKER | 7.6% | 13.24 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | DATING | 7.2% | 13.86 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | LITTLE FANTASY | 7.1% | 14.11 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | DOCTORS DELIGHT | 5.5% | 18.20 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | LE PANACHE | 5.0% | 20.14 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | GLORIAM | 5.0% | 20.19 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY | 3.5% | 28.81 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | WINNING CIRCLE | 2.8% | 35.92 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 33
PLACE
1 14.5
2 15.5
6 14
QUINELLA
1,2 62
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 31.5
1,6 28.5
2,6 25.5
TIERCE
1,2,6 420
TRIO
1,2,6 59
FIRST 4
1,2,6,9 109
QUARTET
1,2,6,9 2,496
2ND DOUBLE
4/1 86
4/2 12.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 21