Sha Tin · 2019-10-06
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MY WINNER Closed strongly B 1.22.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · R Gibson | J Moreira | R Gibson | 13 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/XB/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 5 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly TT A Domeyer · A S Cruz | A Domeyer | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER XB1 M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 138.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR Closed strongly H A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 12 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY GUY Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SPACE Led early B T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 9 | 294.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SHINEALOT Closed strongly K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 41.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNATE RUNNER CP/TT N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 2 | 12.0 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | CHEEKY BEE B L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 3 | 49.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE H/V/XB M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 39.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE H/TT1 U Rispoli · K H Ting | U Rispoli | K H Ting | 8 | 44.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | WINNING WARRIOR H H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 10 | 322.0 | 29-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | CHAPARRAL STAR H/PC/XB M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 14 | 138.0 | ML |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2019-10-06 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MY WINNER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by R Gibson, won by 1/2, with SPRINT FORWARD second and SUNSHINE WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite SPRINT FORWARD finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD | 31.5% | 3.18 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY GUY | 14.8% | 6.76 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | MY WINNER | 12.5% | 8.02 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 11.4% | 8.78 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | FORTUNATE RUNNER | 9.0% | 11.06 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR | 4.5% | 22.42 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 3.1% | 32.08 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | CHEEKY BEE | 3.1% | 32.19 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 2.9% | 34.20 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | CHAPARRAL STAR | 2.6% | 39.12 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 1.7% | 58.07 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE | 1.3% | 75.23 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | WINNING WARRIOR | 0.9% | 117.42 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | SPACE | 0.7% | 133.47 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 52.5
PLACE
3 14.5
8 17.5
9 13.5
QUINELLA
8,9 79
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 37
3,9 27
8,9 36
TIERCE
8,9,3 598
TRIO
3,8,9 69
FIRST 4
3,4,8,9 1,430
QUARTET
8,9,3,4 25,434
3 PICK 1
A2 27.5
A3 —
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
9/8 208
9/9 14