Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2019-10-06

Race 7

Class 3 WET SLOW 1650m 14 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2019-10-06 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. RICKFIELD, ridden by M F Poon and trained by A T Millard, won by N, with WARM THE VOICE second and DEAL MAKER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite DEAL MAKER finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.39.34
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 RICKFIELD Closed strongly XB 1.39.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · A T Millard 13 176.0 N
2 3 WARM THE VOICE Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui 14 53.0 N
3 11 DEAL MAKER H C Schofield · K H Ting 8 2.9 2-3/4
4 4 BEAR SLAM Closed strongly N Callan · D E Ferraris 4 3.0 3-3/4
5 2 HUANGSHAN Closed strongly B-/PC1/TT1 A Domeyer · J Moore 12 183.0 5-1/4
6 1 PACKING WARRIOR B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 7 12.0 5-1/2
7 8 RULETHEROOST Closed strongly CP A Sanna · F C Lor 10 26.0 6-3/4
8 14 HO HO FEEL Closed strongly H/XB T H So · C H Yip 9 192.0 8
9 10 WILLIE WAY Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 6 13.0 11-1/4
10 12 ULTIMATE GLORY V H W Lai · K L Man 2 65.0 11-3/4
11 6 TANG FLEMING Led early B/TT H N Wong · C W Chang 11 69.0 15-1/2
12 9 CLEAR CHOICE B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum 3 5.3 16-1/4
13 13 UNICORNBABY B L Hewitson · R Gibson 1 65.0 17
14 7 PERFECT TO PLAY H/TT Z Purton · C Fownes 5 12.0 23-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RICKFIELD—2. WARM THE VOICE+0.05L3. DEAL MAKER+2.75L4. BEAR SLAM+3.75L5. HUANGSHAN+5.25L6. PACKING WARRIOR+5.5L7. RULETHEROOST+6.75L8. HO HO FEEL+8L9. WILLIE WAY+11.25L10. ULTIMATE GLORY+11.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick DEAL MAKER (26.5%) finished 3rd — the winner RICKFIELD was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 DEAL MAKER 26.5% 3.78 3
2 9 CLEAR CHOICE 16.7% 6.00 12
3 7 PERFECT TO PLAY 13.1% 7.66 14
4 1 PACKING WARRIOR 11.9% 8.43 6
5 4 BEAR SLAM 9.7% 10.32 4
6 3 WARM THE VOICE 3.6% 27.69 2
7 10 WILLIE WAY 3.2% 31.40 9
8 13 UNICORNBABY 3.1% 31.98 13
9 8 RULETHEROOST 3.0% 33.87 7
10 5 RICKFIELD 2.7% 36.79 1
11 6 TANG FLEMING 2.3% 43.97 11
12 12 ULTIMATE GLORY 1.6% 60.89 10
13 2 HUANGSHAN 1.5% 65.52 5
14 14 HO HO FEEL 1.2% 82.63 8
DEAL MAKERCLEAR CHOICEPERFECT TO PLAYPACKING WARRIORBEAR SLAMWARM THE VOICEWILLIE WAYUNICORNBABYRULETHEROOSTRICKFIELD — wonTANG FLEMINGULTIMATE GLORYHUANGSHANHO HO FEEL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 1,763

PLACE

3 117.5

5 327

11 15

QUINELLA

3,5 13,723

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 3,109

3,11 333

5,11 702.5

TIERCE

5,3,11 132,663

TRIO

3,5,11 16,501

FIRST 4

3,4,5,11 13,966

QUARTET

5,3,11,4 779,657

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

5,11,12/3,5,11 509,654

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 52

6TH DOUBLE

12/3 886

12/5 12,691.5

← Race 6 Race 8 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1650m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99