沙田 · 2019-10-06
第 7場
2019-10-06沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由M F Poon策騎、A T Millard訓練的RICKFIELD勝出，贏出N。WARM THE VOICE獲得亞軍；DEAL MAKER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門DEAL MAKER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | RICKFIELD 後段發力 XB 1.39.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 13 | 176.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | WARM THE VOICE 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 14 | 53.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | DEAL MAKER H C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 8 | 2.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAR SLAM 後段發力 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 3.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | HUANGSHAN 後段發力 B-/PC1/TT1 A Domeyer · J Moore | A Domeyer | J Moore | 12 | 183.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | PACKING WARRIOR B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | RULETHEROOST 後段發力 CP A Sanna · F C Lor | A Sanna | F C Lor | 10 | 26.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | HO HO FEEL 後段發力 H/XB T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 9 | 192.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | WILLIE WAY 後段發力 B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 13.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | ULTIMATE GLORY V H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 2 | 65.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | TANG FLEMING 早段領放 B/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 11 | 69.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | CLEAR CHOICE B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 3 | 5.3 | 16-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | UNICORNBABY B L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 1 | 65.0 | 17 |
| 14 | 7 | PERFECT TO PLAY H/TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 5 | 12.0 | 23-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DEAL MAKER | 26.5% | 3.78 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | CLEAR CHOICE | 16.7% | 6.00 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 13.1% | 7.66 | 14 |
| 4 | 1 | PACKING WARRIOR | 11.9% | 8.43 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | BEAR SLAM | 9.7% | 10.32 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | WARM THE VOICE | 3.6% | 27.69 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | WILLIE WAY | 3.2% | 31.40 | 9 |
| 8 | 13 | UNICORNBABY | 3.1% | 31.98 | 13 |
| 9 | 8 | RULETHEROOST | 3.0% | 33.87 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | RICKFIELD | 2.7% | 36.79 | 1 |
| 11 | 6 | TANG FLEMING | 2.3% | 43.97 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 1.6% | 60.89 | 10 |
| 13 | 2 | HUANGSHAN | 1.5% | 65.52 | 5 |
| 14 | 14 | HO HO FEEL | 1.2% | 82.63 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 1,763
PLACE
3 117.5
5 327
11 15
QUINELLA
3,5 13,723
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 3,109
3,11 333
5,11 702.5
TIERCE
5,3,11 132,663
TRIO
3,5,11 16,501
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 13,966
QUARTET
5,3,11,4 779,657
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,11,12/3,5,11 509,654
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 52
6TH DOUBLE
12/3 886
12/5 12,691.5