沙田 · 2019-10-06
第 8場
2019-10-06沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由Z Purton策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的BAND OF BROTHERS勝出，贏出N。WAR ROOM獲得亞軍；GOOD BEAUTY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BAND OF BROTHERS 後段發力 1.21.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 2.5 | N |
| 2 | 3 | WAR ROOM 後段發力 B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 4 | 7.5 | N |
| 3 | 7 | GOOD BEAUTY 後段發力 CP/TT A Domeyer · J Moore | A Domeyer | J Moore | 1 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | COBY BOY 後段發力 B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | BELLAGIO 後段發力 B R Bayliss · P F Yiu | R Bayliss | P F Yiu | 13 | 8.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | BIG BANG BONG 後段發力 TT A Sanna · C W Chang | A Sanna | C W Chang | 8 | 99.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | WORLD FAMOUS CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | FOLLOW ME 後段發力 TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 4.4 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | MONSTER KAKA 後段發力 H/PC1/TT- M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 55.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | DECISIVE ACTION 後段發力 L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 9 | 163.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | SOLAR WAI WAI 早段領放 U Rispoli · F C Lor | U Rispoli | F C Lor | 10 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | SURREALISM H C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 14 | 129.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 2 | GIANT TURTLE SR/TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 6 | 89.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | MAGNIFICENT T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 11 | 98.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 49.3% | 2.03 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | FOLLOW ME | 14.6% | 6.86 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | GOOD BEAUTY | 7.5% | 13.40 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | WORLD FAMOUS | 6.5% | 15.30 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 5.0% | 20.00 | 11 |
| 6 | 14 | BELLAGIO | 4.6% | 21.68 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | WAR ROOM | 3.1% | 32.55 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | COBY BOY | 2.8% | 35.16 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | MONSTER KAKA | 1.8% | 57.11 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | GIANT TURTLE | 1.7% | 59.26 | 13 |
| 11 | 13 | DECISIVE ACTION | 1.1% | 93.03 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | BIG BANG BONG | 1.1% | 94.53 | 6 |
| 13 | 8 | MAGNIFICENT | 0.7% | 150.14 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | SURREALISM | 0.3% | 295.20 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 25
PLACE
3 23
4 13.5
7 33
QUINELLA
3,4 100
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 40.5
3,7 148.5
4,7 63.5
TIERCE
4,3,7 1,149
TRIO
3,4,7 314
FIRST 4
3,4,6,7 1,539
QUARTET
4,3,7,6 13,660
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
5/3 1,469
5/4 3,456.5