沙田 · 2019-10-06
第 9場
2019-10-06沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由K Teetan策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的CHICKEN DANCE勝出，贏出1-1/4。CALIFORNIA GUNGHO獲得亞軍；LONE EAGLE獲得季軍。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | CHICKEN DANCE 1.09.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 3.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | LONE EAGLE XB2 B Shinn · P F Yiu | B Shinn | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | LAKESHORE EAGLE K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 5 | 9.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | PRIVATE ROCKET B/XB1 A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 1 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | WINSTON'S LAD H H W Lai · K W Lui | H W Lai | K W Lui | 14 | 56.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | ENDEARING B/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 9 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | SOLOMON'S BAY CP/XB Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING H C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 10 | 57.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE H/V T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 8 | 129.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | TOP MILITARY M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 13 | 177.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | HONEST WAY U Rispoli · D E Ferraris | U Rispoli | D E Ferraris | 7 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | SALTO OLIMPICO B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 85.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | HERCULES L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 11 | 207.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | POWERMAX · R Gibson | — | R Gibson | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO | 33.3% | 3.00 | 2 |
| 2 | 13 | CHICKEN DANCE | 24.5% | 4.09 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 11.1% | 9.03 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | SOLOMON'S BAY | 7.6% | 13.23 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | LONE EAGLE | 5.7% | 17.60 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | ENDEARING | 4.1% | 24.56 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 2.8% | 35.71 | 13 |
| 8 | 6 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 2.3% | 42.99 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | HONEST WAY | 2.3% | 43.44 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 2.1% | 48.11 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | HERCULES | 1.3% | 77.99 | 14 |
| 12 | 9 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 1.2% | 85.15 | 10 |
| 13 | 8 | TOP MILITARY | 1.0% | 101.00 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | WINSTON'S LAD | 0.9% | 111.77 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 32
PLACE
4 15.5
11 12.5
13 15.5
QUINELLA
11,13 62
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 32
4,13 38
11,13 28
TIERCE
13,11,4 391
TRIO
4,11,13 84
FIRST 4
4,11,12,13 133
QUARTET
13,11,4,12 1,763
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
4/11 12
4/13 54.5