沙田 · 2019-10-06
第 5場
2019-10-06沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、R Gibson訓練的MY WINNER勝出，贏出1/2。SPRINT FORWARD獲得亞軍；SUNSHINE WARRIOR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門SPRINT FORWARD跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MY WINNER 後段發力 B 1.22.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · R Gibson | J Moreira | R Gibson | 13 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/XB/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 5 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR 後段發力 TT A Domeyer · A S Cruz | A Domeyer | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | CHEERFUL LEADER XB1 M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 138.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR 後段發力 H A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 12 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | LUCKY GUY 後段發力 TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | SPACE 早段領放 B T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 9 | 294.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | SHINEALOT 後段發力 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 41.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | FORTUNATE RUNNER CP/TT N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 2 | 12.0 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | CHEEKY BEE B L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 3 | 49.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | KA YING BRILLIANCE H/V/XB M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 39.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | WHO'S HORSE H/TT1 U Rispoli · K H Ting | U Rispoli | K H Ting | 8 | 44.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | WINNING WARRIOR H H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 10 | 322.0 | 29-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | CHAPARRAL STAR H/PC/XB M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 14 | 138.0 | ML |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SPRINT FORWARD | 31.5% | 3.18 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY GUY | 14.8% | 6.76 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | MY WINNER | 12.5% | 8.02 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 11.4% | 8.78 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | FORTUNATE RUNNER | 9.0% | 11.06 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR | 4.5% | 22.42 | 5 |
| 7 | 13 | SHINEALOT | 3.1% | 32.08 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | CHEEKY BEE | 3.1% | 32.19 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 2.9% | 34.20 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | CHAPARRAL STAR | 2.6% | 39.12 | 14 |
| 11 | 4 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 1.7% | 58.07 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | WHO'S HORSE | 1.3% | 75.23 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | WINNING WARRIOR | 0.9% | 117.42 | 13 |
| 14 | 2 | SPACE | 0.7% | 133.47 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 52.5
PLACE
3 14.5
8 17.5
9 13.5
QUINELLA
8,9 79
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 37
3,9 27
8,9 36
TIERCE
8,9,3 598
TRIO
3,8,9 69
FIRST 4
3,4,8,9 1,430
QUARTET
8,9,3,4 25,434
3 PICK 1
A2 27.5
A1 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
9/8 208
9/9 14