沙田 · 2019-10-06
第 4場
2019-10-06沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、R Gibson訓練的COLORADO HIGH勝出，贏出1-1/2。MAJESTIC CONQUEROR獲得亞軍；EPTIWINS獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門FRESH POWER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | COLORADO HIGH 1.10.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · R Gibson | J Moreira | R Gibson | 3 | 3.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 8.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | EPTIWINS H1/XB1 B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 11 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | FRESH POWER TT Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 1 | 2.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SPLENDID TIMING B A Sanna · C W Chang | A Sanna | C W Chang | 5 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | FARM BUMPER K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | DR LUCKY STAR T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 2 | 85.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | IRON BOY B/XB R Bayliss · D J Whyte | R Bayliss | D J Whyte | 12 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | GALAXY RACER H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 4 | 295.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | BINGO B/TT M F Poon · J Moore | M F Poon | J Moore | 13 | 14.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | PARTY EVERYDAY CP1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 31.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | IRON KING H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 8 | 27.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | PLANET NICCONI TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 6 | 331.0 | 22-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | LUCKY WORLD TT1 L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 14 | 132.0 | 26-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | COLORADO HIGH | 24.0% | 4.17 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | FRESH POWER | 23.1% | 4.33 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | BINGO | 9.6% | 10.46 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR | 9.2% | 10.81 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | SPLENDID TIMING | 6.5% | 15.31 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | EPTIWINS | 5.3% | 19.01 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | LUCKY WORLD | 5.1% | 19.51 | 14 |
| 8 | 14 | FARM BUMPER | 4.5% | 22.01 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | IRON BOY | 4.2% | 23.54 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | IRON KING | 3.8% | 26.60 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 2.3% | 42.74 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | PLANET NICCONI | 0.9% | 110.61 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | GALAXY RACER | 0.8% | 124.65 | 9 |
| 14 | 11 | DR LUCKY STAR | 0.6% | 162.66 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 33
PLACE
3 27
7 26
9 14.5
QUINELLA
7,9 138.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 124.5
3,9 78.5
7,9 51
TIERCE
9,7,3 1,644
TRIO
3,7,9 390
FIRST 4
3,4,7,9 167
QUARTET
9,7,3,4 4,452
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,14/3,7,9 17,492
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/7 60.5
8/9 174