Sha Tin · 2019-10-06
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS Closed strongly 1.21.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 2.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | WAR ROOM Closed strongly B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 4 | 7.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY Closed strongly CP/TT A Domeyer · J Moore | A Domeyer | J Moore | 1 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | COBY BOY Closed strongly B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BELLAGIO Closed strongly B R Bayliss · P F Yiu | R Bayliss | P F Yiu | 13 | 8.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG Closed strongly TT A Sanna · C W Chang | A Sanna | C W Chang | 8 | 99.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | FOLLOW ME Closed strongly TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 4.4 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | MONSTER KAKA Closed strongly H/PC1/TT- M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 55.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 9 | 163.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI Led early U Rispoli · F C Lor | U Rispoli | F C Lor | 10 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SURREALISM H C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 14 | 129.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | GIANT TURTLE SR/TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 6 | 89.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 11 | 98.0 | 11-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2019-10-06 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. BAND OF BROTHERS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by N, with WAR ROOM second and GOOD BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 49.3% | 2.03 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FOLLOW ME | 14.6% | 6.86 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY | 7.5% | 13.40 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS | 6.5% | 15.30 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 5.0% | 20.00 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | BELLAGIO | 4.6% | 21.68 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | WAR ROOM | 3.1% | 32.55 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | COBY BOY | 2.8% | 35.16 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | MONSTER KAKA | 1.8% | 57.11 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | GIANT TURTLE | 1.7% | 59.26 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 1.1% | 93.03 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG | 1.1% | 94.53 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 0.7% | 150.14 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | SURREALISM | 0.3% | 295.20 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 25
PLACE
3 23
4 13.5
7 33
QUINELLA
3,4 100
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 40.5
3,7 148.5
4,7 63.5
TIERCE
4,3,7 1,149
TRIO
3,4,7 314
FIRST 4
3,4,6,7 1,539
QUARTET
4,3,7,6 13,660
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
5/3 1,469
5/4 3,456.5