Happy Valley · 2020-01-29
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLOOMING SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 1 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | ASSOCIATION FANS Led early V-/H/SR M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 9 | 24.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 2 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER Closed strongly H/XB/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 10 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HIDDEN SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 26.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE WAY TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 140.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | BREAK RECORD Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 12 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | KEEP WINNING TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 3 | 6.9 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LITTLE ISLAND B-/V1 C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 6 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MONEY WINNER B G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 5 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY STORM B/H H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 7 | 53.0 | 7 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-01-29 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BLOOMING SPIRIT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with ASSOCIATION FANS second and VIRTUS STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLOOMING SPIRIT | 40.5% | 2.47 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | KEEP WINNING | 13.5% | 7.41 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 7.5% | 13.38 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 6.3% | 15.91 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | MONEY WINNER | 6.1% | 16.36 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | HIDDEN SPIRIT | 5.6% | 17.77 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | ASSOCIATION FANS | 4.8% | 20.90 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM | 4.5% | 22.34 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | BREAK RECORD | 3.9% | 25.51 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY STORM | 2.5% | 39.53 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE WAY | 2.5% | 39.68 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | LITTLE ISLAND | 2.3% | 43.01 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 20
PLACE
1 11.5
4 60.5
10 19.5
QUINELLA
1,4 218.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 88
1,10 35.5
4,10 179
TIERCE
1,4,10 1,570
TRIO
1,4,10 399
FIRST 4
1,4,6,10 1,355
QUARTET
1,4,10,6 18,081
1ST DOUBLE
3/1 40
3/4 110.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —