Happy Valley · 2020-01-29
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-01-29 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CINQUANTE CINQ, ridden by J Moreira and trained by T P Yung, won by 2, with DIVINE UNICORN second and WINNING ENDEAVOUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CINQUANTE CINQ Closed strongly 1.39.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 9 | 2.1 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | DIVINE UNICORN TT H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 78.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR Closed strongly XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 2.6 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | TOP SCORE Led early B/TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 8 | 40.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | PICKEN G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 4 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | NAMJONG PLUS Closed strongly M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAUTY HAPPY Closed strongly CP1 L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 11 | 59.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | WINNING DELIGHT Closed strongly B-/TT1 Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 6 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR B/SR K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 5 | 97.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT TT H W Lai · C H Yip | H W Lai | C H Yip | 2 | 70.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | HOME WIN M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 7 | 36.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | BRAVE LEGEND B/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 10 | 26.0 | 18-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SURREALISM S De Sousa · D E Ferraris | S De Sousa | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR | 29.6% | 3.38 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 23.7% | 4.22 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | WINNING DELIGHT | 9.0% | 11.11 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | TOP SCORE | 8.2% | 12.21 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | PICKEN | 7.5% | 13.33 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | NAMJONG PLUS | 6.0% | 16.62 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | BRAVE LEGEND | 4.6% | 21.92 | 12 |
| 8 | 6 | DIVINE UNICORN | 3.3% | 30.63 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 2.8% | 35.12 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 2.3% | 42.93 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | BEAUTY HAPPY | 1.8% | 56.57 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | HOME WIN | 1.2% | 81.68 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 21
PLACE
5 10.1
6 133
10 14
QUINELLA
5,6 624
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 204.5
5,10 17
6,10 206.5
TIERCE
5,6,10 3,676
TRIO
5,6,10 431
FIRST 4
5,6,9,10 1,849
QUARTET
5,6,10,9 42,977
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 12
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
8/5 129
8/6 618.5