Sha Tin · 2020-04-19
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly V 1.47.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 14 | 6.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD DAYS Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 13 | 24.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | GALA NIGHT CP K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 12 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND Led early TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 6.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KING PRINT Closed strongly T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 4 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | JIMMU Closed strongly SR B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 11 | 36.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GIANT TURTLE Closed strongly SR/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 10 | 60.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 32.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | PLIKCLONE M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 9 | 14.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FULL POWER B/XB Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 8 | 3.9 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | MISTER MONTE B K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 1 | 45.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | RULE THEE A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 8.3 | 14 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-19 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. DEFINING MOMENT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with GOOD DAYS second and GALA NIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite FULL POWER finished 12th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FULL POWER | 24.3% | 4.12 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT | 16.7% | 5.99 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GALA NIGHT | 13.1% | 7.64 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR | 7.8% | 12.83 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 7.5% | 13.36 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | RULE THEE | 4.9% | 20.33 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | PLIKCLONE | 4.5% | 22.02 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 3.8% | 26.00 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 3.8% | 26.16 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD DAYS | 3.7% | 27.22 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | MISTER MONTE | 2.9% | 34.17 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | GIANT TURTLE | 2.6% | 38.24 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | JIMMU | 2.5% | 39.86 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | KING PRINT | 1.8% | 54.94 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 61.5
PLACE
2 24.5
5 34.5
11 72.5
QUINELLA
2,11 513
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 116.5
2,11 155
5,11 287
TIERCE
2,11,5 7,230
TRIO
2,5,11 954
FIRST 4
2,5,10,11 6,095
QUARTET
2,11,5,10 103,957
1ST DOUBLE
9/2 746
9/11 201
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A1 —
A3 —