Sha Tin · 2020-04-19
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-19 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. WINNER SUPREME, ridden by H T Mo and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 2, with GUNNISON second and WILL POWER third. The 2.3 favourite WILL POWER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WINNER SUPREME 1.07.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 6.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | GUNNISON J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | WILL POWER XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 2.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | KINGS SHIELD CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 6.4 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | FORTUNE BOOTH CP-/PC2 V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 2 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | ENCORE BOY B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 9.6 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | REFINED TREASURE B/XB/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 10 | 200.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | SEVEN HEAVENS TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 11 | 22.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | TURIN REDSTAR CP/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 4 | 149.0 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | MASSIVE POCKET XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 26.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MISSION TYCOON B/TT B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 8 | 66.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | FLASHCARD TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 7 | 252.0 | 18-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | WILL POWER | 30.6% | 3.27 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | GUNNISON | 19.4% | 5.15 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | WINNER SUPREME | 9.6% | 10.38 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | ENCORE BOY | 7.6% | 13.09 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 7.4% | 13.50 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | MASSIVE POCKET | 6.3% | 15.98 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | KINGS SHIELD | 5.1% | 19.46 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | FORTUNE BOOTH | 3.7% | 26.75 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | FLASHCARD | 3.1% | 32.37 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | REFINED TREASURE | 2.6% | 38.77 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | TURIN REDSTAR | 2.6% | 39.07 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | MISSION TYCOON | 1.9% | 52.18 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 69.5
PLACE
1 15.5
9 21.5
12 14
QUINELLA
1,9 209
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 62.5
1,12 26.5
9,12 36
TIERCE
9,1,12 1,398
TRIO
1,9,12 142
FIRST 4
1,2,9,12 207
QUARTET
9,1,12,2 7,869
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 39
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
3/1 246
3/9 2,736.5