Sha Tin · 2020-04-19
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-19 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MIGHTY GIANT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2-1/4, with SMOOTHIES second and MONSTER KAKA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MIGHTY GIANT Closed strongly B 1.21.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 4 | 1.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | SMOOTHIES Led early TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 12 | 26.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | MONSTER KAKA Closed strongly M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 11 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | JUNEAU PARK Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 4.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | BEAUTY ICON Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 13 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | PURE LEGEND Closed strongly N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 10 | 174.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | TRIPLE TRIPLE Closed strongly K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 394.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT C Wong · J Moore | C Wong | J Moore | 3 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SONIC FIGHTER B H N Wong · P O'Sullivan | H N Wong | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 40.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 1 | 78.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | THUNDER STOMP B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 14 | 179.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | LIGHT MY DAY T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 2 | 388.0 | 17 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MIGHTY GIANT | 36.7% | 2.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | JUNEAU PARK | 31.1% | 3.21 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 6.2% | 16.17 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | GOOD BEAUTY | 4.7% | 21.11 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | SMOOTHIES | 4.7% | 21.32 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | SONIC FIGHTER | 3.9% | 25.48 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 3.3% | 30.50 | 12 |
| 8 | 14 | MONSTER KAKA | 3.2% | 31.22 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | BEAUTY ICON | 2.3% | 44.05 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | THUNDER STOMP | 1.2% | 86.77 | 13 |
| 11 | 6 | PURE LEGEND | 0.9% | 109.28 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 0.7% | 148.35 | 11 |
| 13 | 10 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 0.6% | 156.00 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | LIGHT MY DAY | 0.5% | 218.34 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 15.5
PLACE
2 12
4 49
14 72
QUINELLA
2,4 159.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 57
2,14 91
4,14 757.5
TIERCE
2,4,14 3,646
TRIO
2,4,14 1,439
FIRST 4
2,4,8,14 788
QUARTET
2,4,14,8 13,133
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 11.5
A3 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,12/2,4,14 24,355
9TH DOUBLE
9/2 186.5
9/4 200.5
SIX UP
1/4/4/3/9/2 280,801
1,6/4,12/1,4/3,4/1,9/2,4 2,316
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
3/9/2 5,724
3/9/4 4,518