Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-04-19

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.67
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MEGATRON Wire to wire B/TT 1.38.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · P F Yiu 4 6.1 3/4
2 0 THIS ONE'S FOR YOU Closed strongly B J Moreira · K W Lui 11 4.9 3/4
3 0 JADE FORTUNE Closed strongly B Z Purton · K L Man 8 4.9 2-1/4
4 0 KA FORTUNE Closed strongly V/XB M F Poon · L Ho 9 10.0 2-1/4
5 0 STRATHCLYDE B/TT V Borges · A T Millard 1 24.0 4-1/4
6 0 BEAUTY ANGEL TT H T Mo · A S Cruz 7 100.0 4-1/2
7 0 SUPER RED DRAGON H-/B/TT K Teetan · W Y So 6 4.1 4-3/4
8 0 CROWN AVENUE Closed strongly V A Hamelin · C H Yip 14 16.0 5-1/4
9 0 DAILY BEAUTY B-/V1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 5 20.0 6
10 0 YES WE CAN CP-/TT K C Leung · T P Yung 3 22.0 6-1/4
11 0 GENERAL DINO B N Callan · D E Ferraris 10 46.0 8-1/4
12 0 RIGHTEOUS MATE C Schofield · A T Millard 2 14.0 8-1/2
13 0 SALTO OLIMPICO B B Shinn · D J Hall 12 273.0 9-1/4
14 0 STARLIT KNIGHT H N Wong · Y S Tsui 13 162.0 9-3/4
— 0 TRAVEL FIRST B Shinn · C W Chang — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-19 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. MEGATRON, ridden by K H Chan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with THIS ONE'S FOR YOU second and JADE FORTUNE third. The winner led throughout. The 4.1 favourite SUPER RED DRAGON finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MEGATRON—2. THIS ONE'S FOR YOU+0.75L3. JADE FORTUNE+2.25L4. KA FORTUNE+2.25L5. STRATHCLYDE+4.25L6. BEAUTY ANGEL+4.5L7. SUPER RED DRAGON+4.75L8. CROWN AVENUE+5.25L9. DAILY BEAUTY+6L10. YES WE CAN+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick SUPER RED DRAGON (19.4%) finished 7th — the winner MEGATRON was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUPER RED DRAGON 19.4% 5.17 7
2 0 THIS ONE'S FOR YOU 17.8% 5.60 2
3 0 RIGHTEOUS MATE 13.6% 7.37 12
4 0 JADE FORTUNE 10.6% 9.45 3
5 0 STRATHCLYDE 8.0% 12.51 5
6 0 MEGATRON 7.8% 12.80 1
7 0 CROWN AVENUE 4.2% 23.86 8
8 0 KA FORTUNE 3.9% 25.58 4
9 0 YES WE CAN 3.5% 28.51 10
10 0 DAILY BEAUTY 3.4% 29.55 9
11 0 GENERAL DINO 2.6% 37.75 11
12 0 BEAUTY ANGEL 1.9% 52.89 6
13 0 STARLIT KNIGHT 1.7% 59.18 14
14 0 SALTO OLIMPICO 1.6% 61.99 13
SUPER RED DRAGONTHIS ONE'S FOR YOURIGHTEOUS MATEJADE FORTUNESTRATHCLYDEMEGATRON — wonCROWN AVENUEKA FORTUNEYES WE CANDAILY BEAUTYGENERAL DINOBEAUTY ANGELSTARLIT KNIGHTSALTO OLIMPICO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 61

PLACE

1 18

6 20.5

12 19

QUINELLA

6,12 136.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 56

1,12 59.5

6,12 54.5

TIERCE

12,6,1 1,579

TRIO

1,6,12 265

FIRST 4

1,6,8,12 672

QUARTET

12,6,1,8 14,543

2ND DOUBLE

2/6 61.5

2/12 731

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 23

A1 —