沙田 · 2020-04-19
第 3場
2020-04-19沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K H Chan策騎、P F Yiu訓練的MEGATRON勝出，贏出3/4。THIS ONE'S FOR YOU獲得亞軍；JADE FORTUNE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.1倍大熱門SUPER RED DRAGON跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MEGATRON 一路領先 B/TT 1.38.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 4 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU 後段發力 B J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 11 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | JADE FORTUNE 後段發力 B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 8 | 4.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | KA FORTUNE 後段發力 V/XB M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 9 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | STRATHCLYDE B/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 1 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | BEAUTY ANGEL TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 7 | 100.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | SUPER RED DRAGON H-/B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 4.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | CROWN AVENUE 後段發力 V A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 14 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | DAILY BEAUTY B-/V1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 13 | YES WE CAN CP-/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 3 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | GENERAL DINO B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 46.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | RIGHTEOUS MATE C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 2 | 14.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | SALTO OLIMPICO B B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 12 | 273.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | STARLIT KNIGHT H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 162.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | TRAVEL FIRST B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 19.4% | 5.17 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU | 17.8% | 5.60 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | RIGHTEOUS MATE | 13.6% | 7.37 | 12 |
| 4 | 1 | JADE FORTUNE | 10.6% | 9.45 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | STRATHCLYDE | 8.0% | 12.51 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | MEGATRON | 7.8% | 12.80 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | CROWN AVENUE | 4.2% | 23.86 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | KA FORTUNE | 3.9% | 25.58 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | YES WE CAN | 3.5% | 28.51 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | DAILY BEAUTY | 3.4% | 29.55 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | GENERAL DINO | 2.6% | 37.75 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 1.9% | 52.89 | 6 |
| 13 | 9 | STARLIT KNIGHT | 1.7% | 59.18 | 14 |
| 14 | 2 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 1.6% | 61.99 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 61
PLACE
1 18
6 20.5
12 19
QUINELLA
6,12 136.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 56
1,12 59.5
6,12 54.5
TIERCE
12,6,1 1,579
TRIO
1,6,12 265
FIRST 4
1,6,8,12 672
QUARTET
12,6,1,8 14,543
2ND DOUBLE
2/6 61.5
2/12 731
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 23
A1 —