沙田 · 2020-04-19
第 5場
2020-04-19沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由C Schofield策騎、K L Man訓練的SUPER POWER MAN勝出，贏出SH。EXCEL DELIGHT獲得亞軍；THOU SHALL SING獲得季軍。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER POWER MAN 1.08.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 2 | 2.7 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | EXCEL DELIGHT H J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 3.7 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | THOU SHALL SING B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | WAYFOONG CHARMER BO V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ELITE BOY B/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 1 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | SPLENDID TIMING B T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 10 | 122.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | ADONIS CP A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 8 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | GENERAL TRUMP TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 9 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | HANG'S DECISION B/H H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 3 | 56.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | STAR SUPERIOR H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 11 | 36.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPREME PATROL B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 5 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | VIVA COUNCIL V M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 12 | 27.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | EXCEL DELIGHT | 20.7% | 4.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | SUPER POWER MAN | 17.2% | 5.82 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | GENERAL TRUMP | 13.5% | 7.41 | 8 |
| 4 | 12 | ADONIS | 7.7% | 12.98 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | WAYFOONG CHARMER | 7.5% | 13.38 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | THOU SHALL SING | 7.4% | 13.43 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPREME PATROL | 7.2% | 13.82 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | ELITE BOY | 7.1% | 14.01 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | VIVA COUNCIL | 5.6% | 17.88 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | STAR SUPERIOR | 2.5% | 39.79 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | SPLENDID TIMING | 2.1% | 47.96 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | HANG'S DECISION | 1.4% | 72.37 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 27
PLACE
1 13.5
4 20
6 14.5
QUINELLA
1,6 61.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 36.5
1,6 27.5
4,6 44
TIERCE
1,6,4 331
TRIO
1,4,6 94
FIRST 4
1,4,6,11 157
QUARTET
1,6,4,11 1,844
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 15.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
14/1 47.5
14/6 12.5